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Week 16 NFL DFS Picks: Best value players, sleepers for DraftKings, FanDuel daily fantasy football lineups

As the 2020 NFL regular season roars towards the finish line, so, too, do the majority of fantasy football redraft leagues. If you made the championship round, congratulations! If not, there’s always next year, and for now, there’s always DFS sites like DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo. These sites allow you to construct a brand-new roster each time, acquiring players at different salaries and keeping your team under a hard cap. In order to achieve DFS success, you must pinpoint under-the-radar value plays and sleepers so you can afford weekly studs in other roster slots. That’s where RotoQL comes in -- we provide detailed rankings of each NFL players’ DFS prices, values, stat projections, floors, and ceilings. I then compile a detailed list of our favorite under-the-radar value players, and we provide it to you free of charge via this weekly column. If you checked in last week, you would have benefited greatly from our advice to make the following DFS roster picks (all Week 15 prices and fantasy points via DraftKings): QB Jalen Hurts ($5,900): 40.8 fantasy pointsQB Philip Rivers ($5,900): 17RB D’Andre Swift ($6,400): 23.2RB JKDobbins ($5,900): 15.1WR Brandon Aiyuk ($6,300): 22.3WR: T.Y. Hilton ($5,500): 11.1Arizona D/ST ($2,900): 10These players (and Arizona’s D) all vastly outperformed their price tiers, with some even leading their positions for the week. By finding such great values at modest costs, DFS managers afforded themselves studs like Derrick Henry and Calvin Ridley in other roster spots.MORE WEEK 16 DFS: Best stacks|Lineup BuilderYou can read Week 16 previews and fantasy prediction articles 24/7onBetQL, find out which side the pros are betting on their NFL expert picks dashboard, follow all the NFL public betting data, and build DraftKings lineupson RotoQL.Let's break down ourtop Week 16 DFS value plays, and you can get an idea of why 100,000DFSplayers trustRotoQLto build lineups. We constantly monitor pricingand provide the most up-to-date insight and analysis to maximize your lineup success.Optimize, find value plays, and increase your chances of cashing today!WEEK 16 DFS TOURNAMENT LINEUPS: DraftKings | FanDuelNFL DFS Picks Week 16: QB sleepers, valuesJalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (DK: $7,000 | FD: $8,200)Coach Doug Pederson probably secretly wishes he had turned to Hurts earlier this season, as the rookie phenom has been explosive in his two starts for Philly. He posted 23.3 fantasy points in Week 14 against the Saintsand a whopping 40.8 in Arizona last week. Now he gets a dome game in Dallasagainst one of the more disappointing defenses of 2020. RotoQL projects Hurts to score 21.8 fantasy points against the Cowboys this weekendwith a40.8-pointceiling. Fire the rookie up with confidence.Baker Mayfield, Cleveland Browns at New York Jets (DK: $6,100 | FD: $7,600)Mayfield has morphed into a sensational playmaker this season. Six days after nearly leading the Browns over the Ravens on Monday Night Football with 366 total yards and three scores, the third-year QB went 27-of-32 for 297 yards and two TDs against a good Giants defense in a 20-6 spanking. After Pittsburgh choked against the Bengals on Monday, the AFC North is very much in play for the Browns. Expect a huge statistical game for Mayfield against the lowly Jets, who rank 30th in fantasy points allowed to quarterbacksand have allowed three passing TDs per game over the past three weeks.Mitchell Trubisky, Chicago Bears at Jacksonville Jaguars (DK: $5,700 | FD: $7,200)Clearly the Bears should have kept Trubisky under center the whole season, as he’s now 5-2 as a starter in 2020. He may not be the future in Chicago but he’s definitely the present, and there’s no better gift to a QB than a sunny late-December meeting with the Jaguars. Jacksonville serves up the second-most fantasy points to QBsand has surrendered five passing TDs in the past two games.Stocking Stuffer SpecialAndy Dalton, Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles (DK: $5,500 | FD: $6,900)Dalton finally looks comfortable under center in Dallas, and he’s quietly averaged about 17 fantasy points over his past five games. Kyler Murray just put up 406 passing yards and three TDs against Philly’s secondary, so we like Red Rifle in this crucial home game against the Cowboys’ division rivals.Saturday Slate Standouts:Kyler Murray, Cardinals; Tom Brady, Buccaneers; Derek Carr, RaidersWEEK 16 DFS CASH LINEUPS: DraftKings |FanDuelWeek 16 DraftKings, FanDuel Picks: RB sleepers, valuesDavid Johnson, Houston Texans vs. Cincinnati Bengals (DK: $6,100 | FD: $6,700)After missing a handful of contests to a concussion and COVID-19 (not the kind of alliteration you want), DJ exploded for 133 all-purpose yards in Indianapolis last weekend. He caught all 11 of his targets, serving as Deshaun Watson’s security blanket against a tough Colts front seven. The Bengals looked pretty darn good against the Steelers last weekend, but they still allow 128.6 rushing yards per game (seventh worst in the NFL). Johnson should grab at least 60 yards on the groundand maybe another 50 through the air. RotoQL projects him to score 15.8 fantasy points this weekend, which would equal enormous value at these prices.JKDobbins, Baltimore Ravens vs. New York Giants (DK: $6,200 | FD: $6,300)Dobbins has been one of the best offensive rookies in the second half of the 2020 season, and he’s averaged 14 fantasy points overthe past four weeks. The Giants have a good secondary, but their front seven has been vulnerable to good running games. The Ravens are one of the best rushing teams in the NFL, and Dobbins has emerged as their best back. Expect another double-digit points performance from the talented rookie this weekend.Le'Veon Bell, Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons (DK: $5,800 | FD: $6,400)After standout rookie Clyde Edwards-Helaire suffered a high-ankle sprain and hip strain in a gruesome-looking play Sunday, Bell is now the true bell-cow in KC. The veteran has done it all for the Chiefs lately, and he logged 76 scrimmage yards and a score in their big 32-29 win over the Saints. The Falcons D has been better as of late, but it’s still susceptible to big-play guys in high-flying offenses. Leonard Fournette just scored two TDs in Atlanta last week, and it’s a good bet that Bell can fall in the end zone at least once this week.Stocking Stuffer SpecialChase Edmonds, Arizona Cardinals vs. San Francisco 49ers (DK: $4,600 | FD: $6,400)I’ve been one of the loudest critics of Kenyan Drake this season, and I maintain that Edmonds is a better fantasy player (and RB in general) than Drake. Edmonds touched the ball 14 times in Arizona’s big win over Philly last week, netting 66 yards and a touchdown (15.6 PPR points). Meanwhile, Drake managed just 40 yards on 12 touchesand appeared banged up throughout the game. RotoQL projects Edmonds at 10 PPR points with a 38-point ceiling on Saturday.Saturday Slate Standouts:D’Andre Swift, Lions; Salvon Ahmed, DolphinsWEEK 16 PPR RANKINGS:Quarterback | Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D/ST | KickerFanDuel, DraftKings Picks Week 16: WR sleepers, valuesBrandin Cooks, Houston Texans vs. Cincinnati Bengals (DK: $6,200 | FD: $7,000)Cooks missed one game after suffering a concussion against Indy in Week 13, but he returned to face the same Colts last weekend. He recorded six receptions on seven targets for 59 yards inhis fourth consecutive game with at least 11.9 PPR points. Cincinnatihas a much weaker secondary than Indy, so expect the volume to translate into more points production for Cooks this weekend. He’s Deshaun Watson’s A-1 ever since Will Fuller’s suspension, and he’s well worth these price tags.Tee Higgins, Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans (DK: $4,700 | FD: $5,900)Bengals veteran wideout Tyler Boyd (concussion) got banged up in the upset win over the Steelers last week, so the rookie could be in for a huge volume boost from third-string QB Ryan Finley. The Texans’ pass defense has been abysmal this season, ranking 23rd in fantasy points allowed to wide receivers. He's a volatile play, but Higgins could come with a huge reward at a low cost.Sammy Watkins, Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons (DK: 5,000 | FD: $5,400)Watkins has had a tough 2020, but Patrick Mahomes has increasingly involved the veteran wideout in the past few weeks. He has 22 targets since returning from injury in Week 12, and he’s caught four passes in three of those four games. He logged 60 receiving yards against a dynamic Saints secondary last week, so 80 yards and a score seem attainable at home against the last-ranked Falcons passing defense.Stocking Stuffer SpecialAllen Lazard, Green Bay Packers vs. Tennessee Titans (DK: $4,200 | FD: $5,700)Lazard has been heating up as of late, making up for the time he lost to core muscle surgery. Only two teams give up more fantasy points to wide receivers than Tennessee, so some of the volume should go his way this weekend.Saturday Slate Standouts:Brandon Aiyuk, 49ers; Mike Evans, Buccaneers; Marvin Jones, LionsWEEK 16 STANDARD RANKINGS:Quarterback | Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D/ST | KickerWeek 16 NFL DFS Picks: TE sleepers, valuesMark Andrews, Baltimore Ravens vs. New York Giants (DK: $5,700 | FD: $7,000)The high-flying Ravens are back just in time for a playoff push, and Andrews has been one of the main catalysts. The 6-5, 256-pound veteran has averaged 17 fantasy points over his past three contests, and he remains one of the more trustworthy targets in the NFL on third down and in the red zone. Unlike the majority of tight ends, Andrews has a massive ceiling and a decent floor. The Giants have allowed tight ends to find paydirt in each of their past two games, and Andrews has caught nine-of-13 red-zone targets this season (with two TDs in the past three games), so getting the Pro Bowler at $5,700 is an early Christmas gift.Logan Thomas, Washington Football Team vs. Carolina Panthers (DK: $4,900 | FD: $6,000)A perfect storm of factors went into this recommendation. The veteran journeyman has enjoyed a breakout season, with 62 receptions and five touchdowns. He’s coming off his best volume game of the season, having caught 13-of-15 targets for 101 yards against the Seahawks. And this week he lines up against the Panthers defense, one of the worst units in the league and the eighth-most generous fantasy D to tight ends. Thomas has caught 32 of his 35 targets over the past four games, so you might want to hop aboard Thomas the Tank before DFS sites start to catch on.Stocking Stuffer Special:Austin Hooper, Cleveland Browns at New York Jets (DK: $3,500 | FD: $5,100)Hooper came back last week from a one-game absence due to a neck injury, and he posted 15.1 fantasy points in the Browns’ win over the Giants. Now he gets to face off with the other Big Apple team, the lowly Jets, who serve as the most generous defense to tight ends. It’s been a tough year for Hooper -- emergency appendectomy, neck ailments, etc. -- but this game should prove to be a much-needed stat-padder for the two-time Pro Bowler.Saturday Slate Standouts:Darren Waller, Raiders; Rob Gronkowski, Buccaneers; Jordan Reed, 49ersBetQL, RotoQL’s sister product, simplifies the research process for sports bettors by equipping them with real-time line movements, value bets of the day and meaningful team trends.Check it out here!Week 16 NFL DFS values: D/ST sleepersWashington Football Team vs. Carolina Panthers (DK: $3,000 | FD: $4,800) The team with no name sure has one hell of a defense. WFT has emerged as one of the more dominant squads in football, and it’s coming off a tough 20-15 loss to the Seahawks. Newsflash: Carolina sans-Christian McCaffrey comes nowhere near the offensive ability of Seattle. I think the Panthers struggle in D.C. this weekend, and Washington logs at least 11 fantasy points for the fifth time this season.Saturday Slate Standouts:Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions; Arizona Cardinals vs. San Francisco 49ers
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Wild Card NFL DFS Picks: Best value players, sleepers for DraftKings, FanDuel daily fantasy football lineups

The 2020 NFL regular season has come to a close, and now things really start to get fun in DFS. With every game a nationally televised, must-win affair, these are the times when fantasy football studs truly distinguish themselves on the field, and as always, it’s imperative to pinpoint the sleepers and under-the-radar value plays on DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo. By attaining valuable production at discount prices at one position, managers afford themselves proven weekly commodities in other roster spots. My job, all 17 regular-season weeks and now into the postseason, is to scan the vast projections of RotoQL and pick my favorite sleepers and value picks. If you checked this column out last week, you would have benefited from our advice to plug in the following players (all Week 17 prices and fantasy points production via DraftKings): QB Kirk Cousins, MIN ($7,700): 40.3 fantasy pointsQB Derek Carr, LV ($5,700): 24.9QB Drew Brees, NO ($5,900): 20.04RB Melvin Gordon, DEN ($5,700): 21.0RB D'Andre Swift, DET ($6,300): 16.0RB Nyheim Hines, IND ($4,900): 12.7WR Marvin Jones Jr., DET ($5,100): 38.0WR Russell Gage, ATL ($5,100): 25.2WR Keke Coutee, HOU ($5,600): 15.0WR T.Y. Hilton, IND ($5,800): 13.7These players all vastly outperformed their price tiers, with some even leading their positions for the week. By finding such great values at modest costs, DFS managers afforded themselves studs like Tom Brady, A.J. Brown, and Jonathan Taylor in other roster spots.MORE WILD CARDDFS: Lineup BuilderYou can read wild-card weekendpreviews and fantasy prediction articles 24/7onBetQL, find out which side the pros are betting on their NFL expert picks dashboard, follow all the NFL public betting data, and build DraftKings lineupson RotoQL.Let's break down ourtop Week 17 DFS value plays, and you can get an idea of why 100,000DFSplayers trustRotoQLto build lineups. We constantly monitor pricingand provide the most up-to-date insight and analysis to maximize your lineup success.Optimize, find value plays, and increase your chances of cashing today!Wild Card NFL DFS Picks: QB sleepers, valuesRyan Tannehill, Tennessee Titans vs. Baltimore Ravens (DK: $6,600 | FD: $8,200)It sure feels tempting to go with the quarterback on the other side of this matchupgiven how Lamar Jackson has seemingly returned to his superstar form, but the glaring price differential between the 2019 Comeback Player of the Year and the '19 MVP probably won't be coupled with a substantial disparity in production. Tannehill put up 28.4 fantasy points against Houston in Week 17, and he almost hit Black Jack when these teams met in Baltimore back in Week 11. He's the safest bet with the highest ceiling in this price range.Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears (DK: $5,700 | FD: $7,800)It's safe to say Brees has fully recovered from his punctured lung and 11 broken ribsjust in time for a tough opening-round matchup with a solid Bears D. The 42-year-old future Hall-of-Fame QB has eclipsed 20 fantasy points in two of the past three weeks, and he scored 19.6 against the Bears in Chicago on Nov. 1. The upside may be limited with Brees against Khalil Mack and company, but you won't find a better floor for under $6K DK/$8K FD.Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns (DK: $6,100 | FD: $7,500)Remember when the Steelers were 11-0? After a nightmarish second half of the regular season, you can acquire most of Pittsburgh's skill-position players at discount rates. With Big Ben's penchant for turning the heat up in the playoffsand the fact that Cleveland ranks just 25th in fantasy points allowed toQBs, RotoQL's model really likes the the veteran signal-caller. Pittsburgh certainly won't be running its way to the second round.Wild Card DraftKings, FanDuel Picks: RB sleepers, valuesJKDobbins, Baltimore Ravens at Tennessee Titans (DK: $6,600 | FD: $6,800)From Week 11 on, Dobbins has been one of the better offensive talents, never mind rookies, in the NFL. He averaged 13.6 PPR points in Baltimore's five games between Nov. 22 and Dec. 27, then exploded for 28 points in the Ravens' thrashing of the Bengals last week. Tennessee ranks 26th against RBs in fantasy, so it's surprising to see the Ohio State product priced under $7,000.Jonathan Taylor (DK: $7,900 | FD: $8,800) and Nyheim Hines (DK: $4,700 | FD: $5,600), Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo BillsObviously, the top Colts back you want this week will be Taylor, who ran roughshod over the Jaguars last week with 253 yards and two scores. Taylor finished his debut regular season with 1,169 rushing yards and 12 total TDs (not to mention 36 catches on 39 targets for 299 yards). Grabbing Hines in one RB spot might afford you JT in the other, forming an Indy stack against a vulnerable Bills run defense. Buffalo ranks 22nd against RBs in fantasyand surrendered 140 ground yards in two of its past three games. Hines has been the security blanket for veteran Colts QB Philip Rivers, and there should be plenty of dump-offs and screens in Buffalo on Saturday. There's no shame in picking two members of the same backfield.Nick Chubb, Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (DK: $6,700 | FD: $7,700)Since Chubb returned from injury in Week 10, he has been one of the most impactful running backs in football. He has averaged 17.6 PPR points per game in that spanand put up 16.8 last week against these very Steelers. The second-year back seems matchup-proof at this point, and he's well worth these prices.Wild Card FanDuel, DraftKings Picks: WR sleepers, valuesMarquise Brown, Baltimore Ravens at Tennessee Titans (DK: $5,400 | FD: $6,300)‘Hollywood’ Brown had a brutal first half of the season, directly correlated with Lamar Jackson’s early struggles in his MVP encore, but the second-year wideout has finished strong, scoring six receiving touchdowns in Baltimore’s final six games. He averaged 15.9 PPR points in that spanand will likely continue his torrid pace against a lowly Titans secondary that gave up the second-most fantasy points to receivers this season. RotoQL projects Brown to score 12.5 pointsbut lists his ceiling at 33.7. Go Hollywood on your opponents and grab the dazzling speedster.Chase Claypool, Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns (DK: $5,200 | FD: $6,100)The antithesis of Brown, Claypool had an incredible first half but turned into a Lost Boy after Week 12. Big Ben backup Mason Rudolph must have traveled to Neverland to retrieve the rookie receiverbecause they connected on five catches for 101 yards and a touchdown against the Browns in Week 17. The Steelers get to play Cleveland again this week, but this time Roethlisberger will be back under center. Claypool caught all four of his targets when he and the veteran QB first played the Browns this season back in Week 6, and he finished with 81 total yards and a score. There’s a very good chance he finds paydirt for a third time against the Browns, so $5,200 seems like a great investment opportunity.Gabriel Davis, Buffalo Bills vs. Indianapolis Colts (DK: $4,000 | FD: $5,000)Another promising rookie, Davis has formed a good connection with MVP candidate Josh Allen. His catch count and total yards from scrimmage may not turn heads, but his red-zone and per-catch numbers paint a more promising picture. He has a 15.4-percent red-zone target share, and has hauled in seven touchdowns in 12 red-zone opportunities (58 percent). He also averages 17.1 yards per catch, which ranks fourth in the NFL. The Colts have a strong secondary (and defensive unit in general), but things could get dicey if Indy cornerback Rock Ya-Sin misses a second straight game due to concussion. Veteran CBs Xavier Rhodes and Kenny Moore would likely be stuck with the unenviable tasks of covering Stefon Diggs and John “Blur” Brown. If Davis gets open for a long one, the third-year stud QB will find him, just like Buffalo QBs didfor 107 yards and a TD last week.Wild Card NFL DFS Picks: TE sleepers, valuesLogan Thomas, Washington Football Team vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (DK: $4,900 | FD: $6,400)The breakout tight end has made the most of his three nationally televised games this season. He caught all four targets in a win over Dallas on Thanksgiving. One week later, he grabbed all nine targets for 98 yards in a Monday evening upset over Pittsburgh. Last Sunday night, he grabbed three passesfor 37 yards in a playoff-clinching win over the Eagles. He scored a touchdown in all three of those prime-time games, and he’s caught 20 combined passes in his past two home games. I would be surprised if Thomas registered anything less than 50 yards and a score against Tampa Bay, who rank 21st in fantasy points allowed to tight ends. Side note: Grab this dude in your fantasy drafts next season!Jared Cook, New Orleans Saints vs. Chicago Bears (DK: $4,600 | FD: $5,900)Cook has quietly been the Saints’ most dependable receiver since Week 13, with 15 receptions on 23 targets for 219 yards and three touchdowns. He caught five-of-seven targets for 51 yards and a score when these teams first met in Chicago back in Week 8, and he should be busy again this week at home. He has a 10.9 PPR average over the past five games, and RotoQL lists his projected ceiling at 23.4 points. Cook at $4,600 looks like an absolute steal. BetQL, RotoQL’s sister product, simplifies the research process for sports bettors by equipping them with real-time line movements, value bets of the day and meaningful team trends.Check it out here!Wild Card NFL DFS values: D/ST sleepersSeattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams (DK: $2,700 | FD: $3,600)Color me shocked that DFS sites list Seattle in the bottom-half of the 12-team slate this wild-card weekend. The Seahawks have been a legitimate defense since their midseason acquisition of pass-rusher Carlos Dunlap, and they have logged nine or more fantasy points in five of the past six weeks. These teams just met in Week 16, and Seattle held LA to 216 passing yards and nine total points with Jared Goff. Now the Rams might be stuck starting John Wolford, who listed his LinkedIn industry as “Finance” up until his start in Goff’s place last week. It’s a great story --and Wolford did get the Rams the win last week -- but he will surely make mistakes in a playoff game in Seattle if Goff still doesn’t get the thumbs-up. This is a layup of a value pick, in my humble opinion.
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Week 17 NFL DFS Picks: Best value players, sleepers for DraftKings, FanDuel daily fantasy football lineups

The final week of the 2020 NFL season is upon us, and the majority of season-long fantasy leagues have already crowned their champions. But DFS sites like DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo allow you to extend the fantasy fun, and assemble brand-new lineups with healthy players from teams still actively competing for playoff positioning. Before every week of this season, I have provided a list of my favorite DFS sleepers and under-the-radar value plays. I do so with the help of RotoQL, which featuresup-to-date rankings of every NFL players’ DFS prices, values, stat projections, floors, and ceilings. If you read this column last week, you would have benefited greatly from our advice to make the following DFS roster picks (all Week 16 prices and fantasy points via DraftKings): QB Andy Dalton ($5,500): 30.6 fantasy pointsQB Mitchell Trubisky ($5,700): 24.6QB Jalen Hurts ($7,000): 20.6RB David Johnson ($6,100): 31.9RB J.K. Dobbins ($6,200): 13.7WR Mike Evans ($6,100): 43.1WR Brandin Cooks ($6,200): 30.1WR Tee Higgins ($4,700): 21.9TE Austin Hooper ($3,500): 14.1TE Mark Andrews ($5,700): 13.6TE Logan Thomas ($4,900): 13.3Tampa Bay D/ST ($3,800): 12San Fran D/ST ($2,700): 11Washington D/ST ($3,000): 9These players (and defenses) all vastly outperformed their price tiers, with some even leading their positions for the week. By finding such great values at modest costs, DFS managers afforded themselves studs like Deshaun Watson, Travis Kelce, and Jonathan Taylor in other roster spots.MORE WEEK 17 DFS: Best stacks| Lineup BuilderYou can read Week 17 previews and fantasy prediction articles 24/7onBetQL, find out which side the pros are betting on their NFL expert picks dashboard, follow all the NFL public betting data, and build DraftKings lineupson RotoQL.Let's break down ourtop Week 17 DFS value plays, and you can get an idea of why 100,000DFSplayers trustRotoQLto build lineups. We constantly monitor pricingand provide the most up-to-date insight and analysis to maximize your lineup success.Optimize, find value plays, and increase your chances of cashing today!WEEK 17 DFS TOURNAMENT LINEUPS: DraftKings| FanDuelNFL DFS Picks Week 17: QB sleepers, valuesKirk Cousins, Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (DK: $6,300 | FD: $7,700)Cousins has enjoyed a fantastic home stretch of the regular season, averaging 23.6 fantasy points since Week 11. Now he faces a Lions defense surrendering the third-most fantasy points in the league. In Detroit’s past five games, QBs have averaged 299.2 passing yardswhile throwing a combined total of 15 touchdowns. RotoQL has Cousins projected to score 21 fantasy points, easily the highest-projected score for any signal-caller under $7,000 on DraftKings.Philip Rivers, Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (DK: $6,000 | FD: $7,300)I’m shocked at how many times I have recommended Rivers in this column this seasonconsidering he almost perennially makes my personal ‘Do Not Draft’ list, but the veteran QB’s listed prices have been values more often than not this seasonand he almost always delivers against poor defenses. Enter the Jaguars, who yield the second-most fantasy points to QBs and tank better than the Jets. RotoQL projects Rivers at 18.4with a ceiling of 28.7 points.Derek Carr, Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos (DK: $5,700 | FD: $7,200)Aww, we’re getting nostalgic in the last week of the regular season! Carr has also made this list a handful of times this yearand for good reason. Like Rivers, the Raiders QB is unspectacular but solid. He doesn’t make too many mistakes, which limits his fantasy floor, and he has play-making receivers who boost his ceiling. Denver ranks 21st in fantasy points allowed to QBs, so he’s a great investment at $5,700.New Year’s Bonus: Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (DK: $5,900 | FD: $7,400)You had me at Carolina. The Panthers have served as many QBs’ ‘get-right games’ this season, which should be no different this week for the future Hall-of-Famer. Brees averages 24.4 fantasy points in his past three games against the Panthers. If he can’t hit Black Jack against them this week, he might not be physically ready for the playoffs.WEEK 17 DFS CASH LINEUPS: DraftKings | FanDuelWeek 17 DraftKings, FanDuel Picks: RB sleepers, valuesD'Andre Swift, Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings (DK: $6,300 | FD: $7,500)The rookie has faced quite a few tough run defenses in the second half of the season, butSwift has still averaged17.4 fantasy points over his past five games. He turned 16 touches into 97 yards the first time these teams met in Week 9, and he has exceeded that touch count in three of the past four weeks since. With 4.6 average yards per carry and nine total touchdowns, it will be difficult to stay away from Swift at $6,300 against the Vikings, who rank 27th against RBs in fantasy land.Melvin Gordon III, Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders (DK: $5,700 | FD: $6,800)The veteran Gordon kicked the turbo boosters on for the home stretch of 2020, accumulating 500 yards on the ground in 93 carries since Week 10 (5.4 yards per carry). Look for him to find paydirt for the 10th time this season, and with 107 yards, he can reach the 1,000-yard mark for just the second time in his career. The Raiders have ceded the fourth-most fantasy points to RBs this seasonand 6.1 yards per carry to bell-cow backs since these teams last met in mid-November. We’re down with MG3 in Week 17.Gus Edwards, Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (DK: $4,900 | FD: $6,100)While the Ravens have underwhelmed this season, the ‘Gus Bus’ has been rolling like it’s got Sandra Bullock at the wheel. Since Week 13, Edwards has carried the ball 38 times for 277 yards (7.3 yards per carry), and he’s found the end zone twice. He also has 73 receiving yards over Baltimore’s past two games. David Johnson just rushed for 128 yards and a score against Cincinnati, one week after Benny Snell carved the Bengals up for 107 total yards and a score. Ride the Bus to DFS glory at a discount deal this week.Nyheim Hines, Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (DK: $4,900 | FD: $6,000)Another deal at under $5,000, Hines has very quietly put up 60 fantasy points since Week 12. He serves as one of Rivers’ security blankets, equally capable of doing damage on the ground and through the air. The Jaguars are the gift that keeps on giving, as they rank 30th in fantasy against RBs. RotoQL lists Hines’ ceiling at 28.5 PPR points, a mark he hit in Week 10 against the Titans.New Year’s Bonus: Latavius Murray, New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (DK: $5,900 | FD: $5,500)He’s no Alvin Kamara, but that’s why Murray’s priced $3,600 lower than his teammate. The change-of-pace back has scored 23.5 total fantasy points over the past two games, and now he draws a Panthers defense that has been dreadful against the run all year. RotoQL gives him a 10.3-point projection with a ceiling of 39.7.WEEK 17 PPR RANKINGS:Quarterback|Running back|Wide receiver|Tight end|D/ST|KickerFanDuel, DraftKings Picks Week 17: WR sleepers, valuesT.Y. Hilton, Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (DK: $5,800 | FD: $6,300)Maybe Hilton traded for himself on his own fantasy team late in the seasonbecause he’s averaged 18.4 PPR points since Week 12. Now he gets to inflict some pain on a Jacksonville secondary that has allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to receivers this season. I know, I’m hammering the Jaguars this week, butHilton will hammer them, too, whether you insert him into your lineups or not.Keke Coutee, Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans (DK: $5,600 | FD: $5,700)At least somebody benefited from the Will Fuller suspension. Coutee has scored 61.2 fantasy points since Week 13 (15.3 per game), clearly earning the trust of Texans QB Deshaun Watson. Coutee has seen the field for 73 percent of Houston’s offensive snaps since the Fuller suspension, and he’s caught 21-of-24 targets in that span. Tennessee has allowed the third-most points to wideouts this season. RotoQL projects the third-year speedster at 13 PPR pointswith a 25-point ceiling.Russell Gage, Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (DK: $5,100 | FD: $5,700)Another wideout who has benefited from the absence of a teammate, Gage has stepped up since Julio Jones suffered a hamstring injury in Week 13. Since then, Gage has 18 grabs for 224 yards and two scores. He will look to close out the season well against the Bucs, who have been surprisingly generous to receivers in fantasy this year (23rd). The oveunder for this game is set at 50 points, and Tampa Bay has scored 78 points total in the past two weeks. Expect Falcons QB Matt Ryan to throw early and often, with Gage once again profiting from the volume.Marvin Jones Jr., Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings (DK: $5,100 | FD: $6,100)Jones has been a boom-or-bust play this season, with nearly 60 combined PPR points in Weeks 13 and 15 but just 13.7 combined in Weeks 14 and 16. We at RotoQL expect him to boom again in Week 17, not just because he’s an odd-number type of guy but also because the Lions face a vulnerable Vikings secondary ranked 24th in fantasy points allowed to receivers. We have Jones projected at 14.2 fantasy points, with a much higher ceiling if QB Matthew Stafford (ankle) can suit up.New Year’s Bonus: Michael Gallup, Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (DK: $5,000 | FD: $6,200)I’ve forgiven Gallup for helping my opponent eliminate me from my fantasy league’s playoffs a few weeks back (I started him in my FLEX spot over Miles Sanders the week Sanders went off against the Saints…gulp). Gallup seems to have forgiven himself, as well, as he scored 11.6 points last week against San Francisco and a whopping 33.1 points last week against the Eagles. Expect double-digits in a huge NFC East battle with the G-Men this weekend.WEEK 17 STANDARD RANKINGS:Quarterback|Running back|Wide receiver|Tight end|D/ST|KickerWeek 17 NFL DFS Picks: TE sleepers, valuesMark Andrews, Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (DK: $5,800 | FD: $7,200)Ravens QB Lamar Jackson has recently looked a lot more like he did during his 2019 MVP campaign than he did earlier in the season. Part of the reason is because he has reestablished his healthy connection with Andrews. The 6-5, 256-pound tight end has 77.7 points over the course of Baltimore’s past five games (15.5 per game), and now he travels to Cincinnati to face a Bengals D ranked 28th in fantasy against his position.Irv Smith Jr., Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (DK: $3,900 | FD: $5,600)Smith reached 15 or more PPR points for the third time in five weeks when he scored 23.3 against a good Saints defense in New Orleans on Christmas. RotoQL sees that 23-point mark as his ceiling against the floundering Lions, who rank 24th against tight ends in fantasy. As a red-zone favorite of the aforementioned Cousins, Smith may very well find paydirt for the third time in two weeks.New Year’s Bonus: Noah Fant, Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders (DK: $4,400 | FD: $5,700)It’s good to let go of grudges and grievances around the New Year, so I’m willing to forgive and forget about the fact that Fant did next-to-nothing for me in the four fantasy leagues I drafted him this year. Fant has scored 33.3 combined PPR points in Denver’s past two games, and he gets to finish the season off strong against a miserable Raiders defense.BetQL, RotoQL’s sister product, simplifies the research process for sports bettors by equipping them with real-time line movements, value bets of the day and meaningful team trends.Check it out here! Week 17 NFL DFS values: D/ST sleepersSeattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (DK: $3,000 | FD: $3,900)The Seahawks D, which was historically bad in the first half of the season, has been surprisingly good in the second half. The biggest difference-maker has been Carlos Dunlap, who has provided Seattle with an actual pass-rush since coming over via trade. The Seahawks have scored at least nine fantasy points in every game since Week 11, and the 49ers often make mistakes with Nick Mullens under center.I wish all of our readers a happy and healthy New Year, and hope you all start 2021 with some big-time DFS winnings!
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Week 16 NFL DFS Picks: Best value players, sleepers for DraftKings, FanDuel daily fantasy football lineups

As the 2020 NFL regular season roars towards the finish line, so, too, do the majority of fantasy football redraft leagues. If you made the championship round, congratulations! If not, there’s always next year, and for now, there’s always DFS sites like DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo. These sites allow you to construct a brand-new roster each time, acquiring players at different salaries and keeping your team under a hard cap. In order to achieve DFS success, you must pinpoint under-the-radar value plays and sleepers so you can afford weekly studs in other roster slots. That’s where RotoQL comes in -- we provide detailed rankings of each NFL players’ DFS prices, values, stat projections, floors, and ceilings. I then compile a detailed list of our favorite under-the-radar value players, and we provide it to you free of charge via this weekly column. If you checked in last week, you would have benefited greatly from our advice to make the following DFS roster picks (all Week 15 prices and fantasy points via DraftKings): QB Jalen Hurts ($5,900): 40.8 fantasy pointsQB Philip Rivers ($5,900): 17RB D’Andre Swift ($6,400): 23.2RB JKDobbins ($5,900): 15.1WR Brandon Aiyuk ($6,300): 22.3WR: T.Y. Hilton ($5,500): 11.1Arizona D/ST ($2,900): 10These players (and Arizona’s D) all vastly outperformed their price tiers, with some even leading their positions for the week. By finding such great values at modest costs, DFS managers afforded themselves studs like Derrick Henry and Calvin Ridley in other roster spots.MORE WEEK 16 DFS: Best stacks|Lineup BuilderYou can read Week 16 previews and fantasy prediction articles 24/7onBetQL, find out which side the pros are betting on their NFL expert picks dashboard, follow all the NFL public betting data, and build DraftKings lineupson RotoQL.Let's break down ourtop Week 16 DFS value plays, and you can get an idea of why 100,000DFSplayers trustRotoQLto build lineups. We constantly monitor pricingand provide the most up-to-date insight and analysis to maximize your lineup success.Optimize, find value plays, and increase your chances of cashing today!WEEK 16 DFS TOURNAMENT LINEUPS: DraftKings | FanDuelNFL DFS Picks Week 16: QB sleepers, valuesJalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (DK: $7,000 | FD: $8,200)Coach Doug Pederson probably secretly wishes he had turned to Hurts earlier this season, as the rookie phenom has been explosive in his two starts for Philly. He posted 23.3 fantasy points in Week 14 against the Saintsand a whopping 40.8 in Arizona last week. Now he gets a dome game in Dallasagainst one of the more disappointing defenses of 2020. RotoQL projects Hurts to score 21.8 fantasy points against the Cowboys this weekendwith a40.8-pointceiling. Fire the rookie up with confidence.Baker Mayfield, Cleveland Browns at New York Jets (DK: $6,100 | FD: $7,600)Mayfield has morphed into a sensational playmaker this season. Six days after nearly leading the Browns over the Ravens on Monday Night Football with 366 total yards and three scores, the third-year QB went 27-of-32 for 297 yards and two TDs against a good Giants defense in a 20-6 spanking. After Pittsburgh choked against the Bengals on Monday, the AFC North is very much in play for the Browns. Expect a huge statistical game for Mayfield against the lowly Jets, who rank 30th in fantasy points allowed to quarterbacksand have allowed three passing TDs per game over the past three weeks.Mitchell Trubisky, Chicago Bears at Jacksonville Jaguars (DK: $5,700 | FD: $7,200)Clearly the Bears should have kept Trubisky under center the whole season, as he’s now 5-2 as a starter in 2020. He may not be the future in Chicago but he’s definitely the present, and there’s no better gift to a QB than a sunny late-December meeting with the Jaguars. Jacksonville serves up the second-most fantasy points to QBsand has surrendered five passing TDs in the past two games.Stocking Stuffer SpecialAndy Dalton, Dallas Cowboys vs. Philadelphia Eagles (DK: $5,500 | FD: $6,900)Dalton finally looks comfortable under center in Dallas, and he’s quietly averaged about 17 fantasy points over his past five games. Kyler Murray just put up 406 passing yards and three TDs against Philly’s secondary, so we like Red Rifle in this crucial home game against the Cowboys’ division rivals.Saturday Slate Standouts:Kyler Murray, Cardinals; Tom Brady, Buccaneers; Derek Carr, RaidersWEEK 16 DFS CASH LINEUPS: DraftKings |FanDuelWeek 16 DraftKings, FanDuel Picks: RB sleepers, valuesDavid Johnson, Houston Texans vs. Cincinnati Bengals (DK: $6,100 | FD: $6,700)After missing a handful of contests to a concussion and COVID-19 (not the kind of alliteration you want), DJ exploded for 133 all-purpose yards in Indianapolis last weekend. He caught all 11 of his targets, serving as Deshaun Watson’s security blanket against a tough Colts front seven. The Bengals looked pretty darn good against the Steelers last weekend, but they still allow 128.6 rushing yards per game (seventh worst in the NFL). Johnson should grab at least 60 yards on the groundand maybe another 50 through the air. RotoQL projects him to score 15.8 fantasy points this weekend, which would equal enormous value at these prices.JKDobbins, Baltimore Ravens vs. New York Giants (DK: $6,200 | FD: $6,300)Dobbins has been one of the best offensive rookies in the second half of the 2020 season, and he’s averaged 14 fantasy points overthe past four weeks. The Giants have a good secondary, but their front seven has been vulnerable to good running games. The Ravens are one of the best rushing teams in the NFL, and Dobbins has emerged as their best back. Expect another double-digit points performance from the talented rookie this weekend.Le'Veon Bell, Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons (DK: $5,800 | FD: $6,400)After standout rookie Clyde Edwards-Helaire suffered a high-ankle sprain and hip strain in a gruesome-looking play Sunday, Bell is now the true bell-cow in KC. The veteran has done it all for the Chiefs lately, and he logged 76 scrimmage yards and a score in their big 32-29 win over the Saints. The Falcons D has been better as of late, but it’s still susceptible to big-play guys in high-flying offenses. Leonard Fournette just scored two TDs in Atlanta last week, and it’s a good bet that Bell can fall in the end zone at least once this week.Stocking Stuffer SpecialChase Edmonds, Arizona Cardinals vs. San Francisco 49ers (DK: $4,600 | FD: $6,400)I’ve been one of the loudest critics of Kenyan Drake this season, and I maintain that Edmonds is a better fantasy player (and RB in general) than Drake. Edmonds touched the ball 14 times in Arizona’s big win over Philly last week, netting 66 yards and a touchdown (15.6 PPR points). Meanwhile, Drake managed just 40 yards on 12 touchesand appeared banged up throughout the game. RotoQL projects Edmonds at 10 PPR points with a 38-point ceiling on Saturday.Saturday Slate Standouts:D’Andre Swift, Lions; Salvon Ahmed, DolphinsWEEK 16 PPR RANKINGS:Quarterback | Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D/ST | KickerFanDuel, DraftKings Picks Week 16: WR sleepers, valuesBrandin Cooks, Houston Texans vs. Cincinnati Bengals (DK: $6,200 | FD: $7,000)Cooks missed one game after suffering a concussion against Indy in Week 13, but he returned to face the same Colts last weekend. He recorded six receptions on seven targets for 59 yards inhis fourth consecutive game with at least 11.9 PPR points. Cincinnatihas a much weaker secondary than Indy, so expect the volume to translate into more points production for Cooks this weekend. He’s Deshaun Watson’s A-1 ever since Will Fuller’s suspension, and he’s well worth these price tags.Tee Higgins, Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans (DK: $4,700 | FD: $5,900)Bengals veteran wideout Tyler Boyd (concussion) got banged up in the upset win over the Steelers last week, so the rookie could be in for a huge volume boost from third-string QB Ryan Finley. The Texans’ pass defense has been abysmal this season, ranking 23rd in fantasy points allowed to wide receivers. He's a volatile play, but Higgins could come with a huge reward at a low cost.Sammy Watkins, Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons (DK: 5,000 | FD: $5,400)Watkins has had a tough 2020, but Patrick Mahomes has increasingly involved the veteran wideout in the past few weeks. He has 22 targets since returning from injury in Week 12, and he’s caught four passes in three of those four games. He logged 60 receiving yards against a dynamic Saints secondary last week, so 80 yards and a score seem attainable at home against the last-ranked Falcons passing defense.Stocking Stuffer SpecialAllen Lazard, Green Bay Packers vs. Tennessee Titans (DK: $4,200 | FD: $5,700)Lazard has been heating up as of late, making up for the time he lost to core muscle surgery. Only two teams give up more fantasy points to wide receivers than Tennessee, so some of the volume should go his way this weekend.Saturday Slate Standouts:Brandon Aiyuk, 49ers; Mike Evans, Buccaneers; Marvin Jones, LionsWEEK 16 STANDARD RANKINGS:Quarterback | Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D/ST | KickerWeek 16 NFL DFS Picks: TE sleepers, valuesMark Andrews, Baltimore Ravens vs. New York Giants (DK: $5,700 | FD: $7,000)The high-flying Ravens are back just in time for a playoff push, and Andrews has been one of the main catalysts. The 6-5, 256-pound veteran has averaged 17 fantasy points over his past three contests, and he remains one of the more trustworthy targets in the NFL on third down and in the red zone. Unlike the majority of tight ends, Andrews has a massive ceiling and a decent floor. The Giants have allowed tight ends to find paydirt in each of their past two games, and Andrews has caught nine-of-13 red-zone targets this season (with two TDs in the past three games), so getting the Pro Bowler at $5,700 is an early Christmas gift.Logan Thomas, Washington Football Team vs. Carolina Panthers (DK: $4,900 | FD: $6,000)A perfect storm of factors went into this recommendation. The veteran journeyman has enjoyed a breakout season, with 62 receptions and five touchdowns. He’s coming off his best volume game of the season, having caught 13-of-15 targets for 101 yards against the Seahawks. And this week he lines up against the Panthers defense, one of the worst units in the league and the eighth-most generous fantasy D to tight ends. Thomas has caught 32 of his 35 targets over the past four games, so you might want to hop aboard Thomas the Tank before DFS sites start to catch on.Stocking Stuffer Special:Austin Hooper, Cleveland Browns at New York Jets (DK: $3,500 | FD: $5,100)Hooper came back last week from a one-game absence due to a neck injury, and he posted 15.1 fantasy points in the Browns’ win over the Giants. Now he gets to face off with the other Big Apple team, the lowly Jets, who serve as the most generous defense to tight ends. It’s been a tough year for Hooper -- emergency appendectomy, neck ailments, etc. -- but this game should prove to be a much-needed stat-padder for the two-time Pro Bowler.Saturday Slate Standouts:Darren Waller, Raiders; Rob Gronkowski, Buccaneers; Jordan Reed, 49ersBetQL, RotoQL’s sister product, simplifies the research process for sports bettors by equipping them with real-time line movements, value bets of the day and meaningful team trends.Check it out here!Week 16 NFL DFS values: D/ST sleepersWashington Football Team vs. Carolina Panthers (DK: $3,000 | FD: $4,800) The team with no name sure has one hell of a defense. WFT has emerged as one of the more dominant squads in football, and it’s coming off a tough 20-15 loss to the Seahawks. Newsflash: Carolina sans-Christian McCaffrey comes nowhere near the offensive ability of Seattle. I think the Panthers struggle in D.C. this weekend, and Washington logs at least 11 fantasy points for the fifth time this season.Saturday Slate Standouts:Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions; Arizona Cardinals vs. San Francisco 49ers
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Studs & Duds: NFL Week 2 Fantasy Football Predictions

Originally posted here: https://optimaldfs.blogspot.com/2020/09/studs-duds-nfl-week-2-fantasy-football.html
Every NFL week, we'll go game by game and name a Stud and a Dud for each contest. Studs and duds are relative to their consensus rankings and salaries on DraftKings and FanDuel. Meaning the Stud will not always be the player I expect to have the most fantasy points for a given game and the Dud will not always be a player I expect to get zero snaps.
Editor's Note: Optimal DFS is the #1 app for building fantasy lineups for DraftKings and FanDuel in Apple's App Store. Download Optimal DFS in the App Store to build customized optimized lineups and get breaking news before everyone else in your league.

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns

Stud: Joe Mixon

The usage was there for Joe Mixon in Week 1. 19 rush attempts and 2 targets. Unfortunately for him, the game script was garbage. That will not be the case in Cleveland. I see them moving the ball down the field on the back of Mixon Week 2. He also has Joe Burrow who looked impressive for a rookie QB with no preseason action.

Dud: Odell Beckham, Jr.

There is still time to fade OBJ and be contrarian. People are going to look at his 10 targets from Week 1 and see potential, but it will end in frustration. There is zero chemistry between Baker and Beckham. I'm avoiding him in Week 2 even with his embarrassingly low salary on DK and FD.

New York Giants at Chicago Bears

Stud: Allen Robinson

Mitchell Trubisky attempted 36 passes and targeted 11 different receivers in Week 1. Allen Robinson scooped up 9 of those targets for 5 receptions and 74 yards. He's the best offensive talent the Bears have and I'm expecting more looks to go his way Week 2. I'll be surprised if he doesn't score a TD against the Giants.

Dud: Saquon Barkley

Saquan Barkley is an incredible talent, but he has not been living up to expectations. In Week 1 against the Steelers, he started the game with 8 rushes for -8 yards. 8 rushes for -8 yards. Figured I'd write it a 2nd time to let it sink because I had to check multiple sources to confirm that stat. He's really good, but his consensus ranking is higher than his production. The Giants offensive line needs help.

Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys

Stud: Calvin Ridley

Which Atlanta Falcon WR had 9 receptions on 12 targets in Week 1? All of them, essentially... Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley, and Russell Gage all had 9 receptions and 12 targets! However, Ridley was the only player to score a TD and did so twice. There is potential in this game for another shootout. I'm a big fan of Ridley season long and love him Week 2.

Dud: Russell Gage

Yes, Gage is coming off a 12 tgt / 9 rec / 114 yrd showing. Although I think we're going to see another shootout here for the Falcons, I'm selling that he sees the same volume Week 2.

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers

Stud: Davante Adams

Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams tore up the Minnesota Vikings defense. An absolute monster game for Adams tallying up 17 targets, 14 receptions, 156 yards, and 2 TDs. Aaron Rodgers looked as crisp as ever and Davante Adams will continue to benefit.

Dud: TJ Hockenson

I had high hopes for TJ Hockenson Week 1. Especially with Kenny Golladay out. 5 target, 5 receptions, 56 yards, and 1 TD. It's a good game on paper, but it felt to me like this was TJ's ceiling. I worry he's shaping up to be a touchdown-dependent TE start week in and week out. The targets went to the WRs Quintez Cephus (10), Marvin Jones Jr. (8), and Danny Amendola (7).

Minnesota Vikings at Indianapolis Colts

Stud: Jonathan Taylor

I was a seller on Jonathan Taylor coming into Week 1. I wasn't buying that he won the starting job from Marlon Mack, which did appear to be the case. Now that Mack is out with a torn Achilles, the backfield will be in the hands of Nyheim Hines and Jonathan Taylor. Hines made the noise with 2 TDs, but they both got a lot of play. 9 carries and 6 targets for Jonathan Taylor and 7 carries and 8 targets for Nyheim Hines. I like both of them, but coming into Week 2 I like Taylor as the higher value play. Phil Rivers is truly proving to be Captain Dump-off. Bold prediction: Nyheim Hines and Jonathan Taylor can turn out to be this year's Austin Ekeler and Melvin Gordon.

Dud: TY Hilton

The targets were there for TY Hilton, but he didn't do much with them. 9 targets, 4 receptions, and 53 yards for TY. I'm staying away from him until I see a little bit of chemistry with Captain Dump-off.

Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins

Stud: John Brown

John Brown is always overlooked and consistently produces. The new addition of Stefon Diggs to the receiving core added to the low valuation of John Brown. I see Diggs and Brown as 1A and 1B options for Josh Allen. 10 targets, 6 receptions, 70 yards, and 1 TD for John Brown in Week 1. He was wide open for a 2nd TD, but Josh Allen spazzed and could not hit him. Josh Allen did look good outside of that 1 pass and both fumbles.

Dud: Ryan Fitzpatrick

0 TDs and 3 INTs for Fitzmagic in Week 1 against the Patriots. The Pats are the Pats, but the Bills defense is pretty good too. A hammy issue for DeVante Parker isn't helping his cause. I'm waiting for the "Tuaaaaaa" chants before I take a chance on Fitz. He's always good to muddy the waters with a good game as soon as he's counted out.

San Francisco 49ers at New York Jets

Stud: Raheem Mostert

He's the best talent in the 49ers backfield and it's NOT EVEN CLOSE. The 49ers rode him through the playoffs and will continue to do so this season. He has the possibility for multi-touchdown 150+ all-purpose yardage week in and week out.

Dud: Jimmy Garoppolo

I like Jimmy G in general, but I think the 49ers run away with this one and don't have a need to pass the rock. He'll have to get his in during the 1st half if he wants to have any fantasy value.

Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles

Stud: Jared Goff

This one is going to be a beat down and Jared Goff is going to be the benefactor. I see him spreading the football around and tallying up 3+ TD. Dwayne Haskins Jr. had what I consider to be a good game last week against the Eagles (for him). A win and 0 INT. This should be a piece of cake for the Rams and Goff.

Dud: Carson Wentz

The Los Angeles Rams just held Dak Prescott in check. This isn't going to go well for Carson Wentz. He's coming off of a 2 pick game against the Washington Football Team. The jury is still out if Washington's DEF is good or if the Eagles offense made them look good. Week 2 should shed some light on the answer.

Denver Broncos at Pittsburgh Steelers

Stud: Ben Roethlisberger

Big Ben was doing Big Ben things on MNF. He looks fully recovered from his surgery and has a lot of weapons to throw to. JuJu Smith-Schuster, James Washington, Chase Claypool, Eric Ebron, Vance McDonald, and Diontae Johnson. Good luck picking the WRs/TEs that will hit... Put Roethlisberger in your Week 2 lineup with confidence.

Dud: James Conner

I liked James Conner coming into the season and tried to steal him (unsuccessfully) in my draft. Turns out I'm happy I didn't get him. He looks stuck in the mud and now has an ankle injury he's nursing. Benny Snell looks Jr. spry. I'd think twice about firing him up in your Week 2 lineups against the Broncos if he gets clearance to play on the ankle.

Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Stud: Christian McCaffrey

Alvin Kamara just ripped the Bucs for 2 TDs (should've been 3) in Week 1. Christian McCaffrey is prime for a monster game here. Anything less than triple-digit yardage and multiple TDs is a letdown.

Dud: Rob Gronkowski

This is a crowded receiving core in Tampa Bay. Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Scotty Miller, OJ Howard, Cameron Brate, and Rob Gronkowski. The chemistry between Brady and Gronk I'm sure is still there, but OJ Howard is the youngefresher talent. I liked him to lead Buc's TEs season long before Week 1. Week 1 that proved to be the case and I think the pattern continues.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans

Stud: Derrick Henry

He's unstoppable and Vrabel knows how to use him. The Titans are going to control this game on the ground. No TDs Week 1 was disappointing, but he'll get in the endzone in Week 2.

Dud: Gardner Minshew II

I caught a case of Minshew Mania, so it pains me to mark him as a Dud, but it's going to be extremely difficult to maintain his Week 1 efficiency. 19 completions on 20 attempts with 3 TDs and 0 INTs. With little help in the backfield, Minshew will most likely struggle to move the ball Week 2 against the Titans defense.

Washington Football Team at Arizona Cardinals

Stud: Washington DEF

I'm a buyer of this Washington defense. Chase Young came out of the gates hot Week 1 and lead The Football Team to a big win. I'm not expecting Washington to shut down the Cardinals, but I am expecting them to keep this game close and cover the 6.5 point Vegas spread.

Dud: Antonio Gibson

Later this season Antonio Gibson will be the guy, but Washington isn't ready to give him that role yet. I fired up Antonio Gibson Week 1 in my 14-team season-long league after Miles Sanders was ruled out. It started off promising as he was getting the early work. Then after 1 goalline series, it all went downhill. Gibson got stuffed on the 1st goalline carry. In came Peyton Barber who eventually pooonded it in. Barber finished with 2 TDs and appeared to the main RB for the latter half of the game. Barber is the safer play heading into Week 2.

Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans

Stud: Marquise Brown

This game will be a little more competitive for the Baltimore Ravens compared to their Week 1 beatdown on the miz Cleveland Browns. Lamar Jackson only had to throw the ball 25 times, but Hollywood Brown was still able to tally 6 targets, 5 receptions, and 101 yards. Mark Andrews and Willie Snead took the 3 TDs thrown. I'm expecting a big week from Brown here in Week 2.

Dud: JK Dobbins

A lot of excitement after Week 1 for season-long JK Dobbins. Yours truly is a Dobbins owner. Unfortunately for me, I only felt pain Week 1 because I am also a Mark Ingram owner and had Ingram locked in as the starter. 4 total TDs vultured from my Week 1 starters Mark Ingram and Antonio Gibson. Dobbins is the future for the Ravens, but I think his 2 TDs were flukey in this blowout game. When push comes to shove I'm betting on Ingram over Dobbins and will keep Ingram in my Week 2 lineup.

Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers

Stud: Clyde Edwards-Helaire

CEH is a lethal weapon for the Chiefs and they know it. He put up big fantasy points in the opener without catching a pass and while getting stopped multiple times on the goalline. I'm not worried about his goalline abilities. Week 2 he'll continue to smash. It'll be tough to compete with McCaffrey season-long, but I can see CEH as the #2 overall RB when it's all said and done.

Dud: Austin Ekeler

The fantasy world is panicking about Austin Ekeler's usage in the passing game Week 1. He only saw a single target. He did have a respectable game on the ground picking up 84 yards on 19 carries. I am indeed pressing the panic button as well. Austin Ekeler is not a ground and pound RB. He's a scatback and Captain Dump-off is no longer in town. Maybe things change when Justin Herbert inevitably takes control. We're looking at a lot of 3 and outs with Tyrod trying to force the ball down the field as the Chargers play from behind in this one.

New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks

Stud: Julian Edelman

Cam Newton only threw 19 passes Week 1. Julian Edelman was targeted on 37% of those pass attempts and put together an OK game in PPR. He was also used once on a successful end-around. The game script Week 2 against the Seattle Seahawks will be different and the Patriots will need to pass to keep up.

Dud: Sony Michel

(See thoughts above on Julian Edelman). The Patriots came in against the Dolphins wanting to pooond the rock. And Sony Michel was still lackluster. He had a fantasy saving TD, but only registered 10 carries for 37 yards. This is a low-floor low-ceiling touchdown-dependent situation for Michel.

New Orleans Saints at Las Vegas Raiders

Stud: Latavius Murray

Alvin Kamara stole all the TDs, but Latavius Murray lead the team in carries Week 1. 15 carries for Murray compared to 12 for Kamara. The game script here calls for a Saints blowout. I'm expecting Latavius Murray to put the finishing touches on this one with a lot of pooonding the rock in the 2nd half.

Dud: Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs is no dud, but his Week 1 numbers are going to be hard to replicate. Especially against a New Orleans Saints team that held the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to under 100 yards rushing and only 1 rushing TD (Tom Brady). I see the Raiders playing from behind in this one making it difficult for Jacobs to perform for fantasy purposes.
Editor's Note: Optimal DFS is not responsible for any decisions made, financial or otherwise, based on information provided by this application or blog. Optimal DFS cannot guarantee the correctness of the information contained within our application or blog.
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NFL Week 13 Cash Picks for FanDuel

Alright, it’s time for the Team Rise or Fall NFL Week 13 cash picks for FanDuel. I’m here to pass along a few starting points for your cash game plays this weekend. As always, with “cash games” (50/50s, Double-Ups, Head to Head) we’re not necessarily looking to take 1st place. We need to beat 40-50% of the field so we’re looking for players with high floors (Touches and targets) more than taking a chance on a guy we have a feeling about.
Before I move forward: The NBA season is right around the corner so it’s a great time to sign up if you’re not a Team Rise or Fall member. You can check out our Sample NBA Study Hub to get an idea of what we’ll be providing on a daily basis.
All information below is based on the Team Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub. Let’s get to Week 13!

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Check out ROF Bets for Player Props, MonkeyKinfeFight Picks, other Sports Betting Content!

QUARTERBACK

Ryan Fitzpatrick (7.4k)
Fitzpatrick comes in as the second highest value in the Team Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub and gets to take on the Cincinnati Bengals and their 30th ranked defense against quarterbacks. Fitz is currently our fourth highest projected quarterback so things are looking good for him to have a nice Sunday.
Kirk Cousins (7.3k)
I have a love/hate relationship with Cousins based on the fact that I very rarely get it right when it comes to his good games. I’m feeling confident I’ll get him right this weekend. Kirk is the fourth highest value at quarterback this week and draws the Jacksonville Jaguars with their 28th ranked defense against quarterbacks.

RUNNING BACK

James Robinson (7.8k)
I’m looking for volume at the running back position and Robinson definitely provides that. The Team Rise or Fall Study Hub lists Robinson as the running back with the third most touches over the last four weeks. He trails only Derrick Henry and Dalvin Cook. He also ties for the third-best value on the slate.
Derrick Henry (10k)
Derrick Henry. What else is there to say? He’s the second highest projected running back in our NFL Study Hub, and he’s averaging the second most points at the running back position over the last four weeks. Henry and the Tennessee Titans take on the Cleveland Browns who’ve been good against the run, but Henry is different.
Subscribe to get access to Scrosby’s Cash Pool!

WIDE RECEIVER

Justin Jefferson (7.7k)
Jefferson is the highest value at wide receiver in the Team Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub. He’s also... Read the rest for FREE here: https://teamriseorfall.com/2020/12/03/nfl-week-13-cash-picks-for-fanduel/
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CreateYoureReality NFL Week 6 Sunday Games Analysis and Picks (And Week 5 Recap)

Week 5 Recap: Look at us, putting in another solid card, right on que. As I have said in previous years, weeks 1-4 are usually a little high variance, but weeks 5-14 are where the data collection yields it's fruits. Thursday was fantastic, we picked the underdog upset and went 4-0 on the night. Sunday was also a positive day. We were VERY close to some big boy daddy long shots. I feel confident that they will show a return eventually, they are just a long term play. Our teaser was 1 off, that tends to happen with teasers over 3/4 picks so nbd. Overall a good building week. Let's keep this train rolling!
Singles (9-8, +5.6u)
Parlays (2-1, +19.6u)
Teasers (0-1, -5u)
BBDLS (0-8, -6.8u)
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SUNDAY GAMES
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Chicago at Carolina: Bears coming off a win over the Bucs and some extra days rest. Carolina also coming off a win (3 game win streak) where they were underdogs. At the beginning of the week when the lines were released I jumped on the Bears +3 And the Ml +120 for 2u and 1u respectively. However, the more research that was done, the more I like Carolina. Neither of these teams are proven winners yet as all of their wins have come against losing teams. Carolina is like TEN in that they aren't flashy, they just are well coached, execute properly and do their best to minimize mistakes while forcing the other team to WIN the game. As we have seen when they face a team that can win, that team does win. But if they face teams that have trouble getting the win...Carolina out executes them and wins comfortably. The main problem I see Carolina having when losing is they settle for too many field goals in the red zone. (27th in red zone efficiency, scoring touchdowns on just 10 of its 20 red zone trips) Unfortunately for them, this is the Bears defensive strength. They are currently No. 1 in the red zone and No. 2 on third down.
A side story I am looking at in this game is running back Mike Davis returning to CHI (the team that drafted him and then let him go). He has been running as an unstoppable force these last 3 games and I look for it to mostly continue. I do think against this bears front he is more likely to get his action through receptions and YAC than through handoffs.
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Detroit at Jacksonville: This one should be simple (I feel like I say that a lot for Detroit write ups) Detroit is coming off a bye and this is the perfect time to put together some wins. They have a VERY favorable schedule coming up but to have any shot at catching Green Bay or Chicago need to take care of the easy ones. This week and next week are those games.
Jacksonville is coming off another loss, this one to the previously winless Texans. Their main problem is defense. They have given up 30+ to every team in their losing streak and the only team they beat was, IMO a bad QB. (Late age Phillip Rivers in a season opener with no preseason) Bad news for them, as mentioned, the Lions are coming off a bye week and have now returned previously injured players. Look for Adrian Peterson to have a day and keep an eye out for the return of Kenny Galloday.
My algo likes this game for an over and so I put in a Same game parlay on Fanduel for half a unit. It is a BBDLS to win +150u. There are a few games to look at same game parlays on, and with the way both of these two teams have played defensively, this is definitely one of those games.
Side note, this was a pretty detailed video explaining why the Lions will defeat the Jags: https://youtu.be/7RVcmu3fHeM
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Atlanta at Minnesota: Failcons blew another one. They started out exactly as I predicted, leaning heavy on Gurley and blitzing Teddy B, getting a lead... but then they just stalled. Now... Quinn is gone.
Minnesota played a hell of a game week 5 and gave themselves every opportunity to win. They just didn't convert in a key spot and gave Russ the chance to win it...and that's what he did. Based on team vs team matchup, we would expect the Vikings to take this one. Cousins has had a rough first few matchups, but a shitty Falcons D could be his elixir back to at least an average form. Cook is out, but Mattison is a very capable backup that has replaced Cook well. The key to this one will be MIN D. It was able to slow Russ down last week, finally showing signs of cohesion, but once crunch time came, they fell apart. Can they keep climbing, back to a normal form? Or will Matt Ryan look to prove it was Quinn and his leadership that held him back and come out and win this one.
Personally I am a huge fan of betting on a team when they get an interim coach. We took Houston last week, and they rolled nicely. Here is what interim coach Raheem Morris had to say, "At the end of the day, we have to find a way to put our foot on people's throats and end games," Morris said. "That's what has got to happen."
Feels like he knows his defense is trash and he's going to be very loosey goosey with his play calling this week. This is another game my algo likes the over in and has potential for Same game parlays on player props.
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Houston at Tennessee: Houston broke the winless streak and the curse of Obrien has been lifted. They looked good, but let's keep in mind that was vs a sinking Jacksonville team. Tennessee, as predicted and given as a play to my premium subscribers, continued the winning ways and crushed the Bills in a Tuesday game! Now on short rest return home to take on the Texans in an important divisional match up.
This is tough because TEN is coming off a shorrrrrt week. After playing Tuesday night, that only leaves them 4 days of travel, rest, game planning, and the tons of Covid protocols to go through. I feel like as the better, complete team, they have the overall advantage given all things neutral. However with the increased energy for the Houston team after the coaching chances and first win and the short week for TEN defense to recover, my algo leans a HOU cover and possible win.
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Washington at NY Giants: Whelp, Washington went exactly like I wrote last week, haha. We got to see Alex Smith! Seriously though, Kyle Allen looked pretty legit in the first quarter. He was a Full participant in practice on Friday and looks to be good to go for this one. On the other side Daniel Jones is just not progressing. Last week the Giants put up over 30 points and Jones threw 0 TDs. HOW ARE THE GIANTS FAVORITES?!
I feel like Rivera's thought process is...if we can win the next 3 games, (2 against an 0-5 team and 1 vs. the worst defense in the league right now) we are 4-4 and 4-0 in the division. With another divisional game vs the depleted eagles still to be played this season. I expect Rivera to unleash some early deep balls and pressure the shit out of Jones.
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Cleveland at Pittsburgh: 17 years since a Browns win in Pittsburg. Cleveland did well for us last week and got the upset vs the Colts. They are looking like the Titans, establish a good run game, have the QB make manageable throws, take a few shots, play above average D.
The Steelers are 4-0 and their defense is averaging 3+ sacks(5 PER) and 1+ INT per game this year...but who have they played? winless Giants, and three one win teams in the Eagles, Texans, and Broncos...
The major weakness to the Steeler D is that they are allow teams to convert a whopping 50% on third down.
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Baltimore at Philadelphia: Ehhhh, another one of those game I don't want to touch. Outside of the win vs the 49ers, I don't know what is keeping this line between 7-9.5. I am not sure why it didn't open closer to 10 than 7. Usually when something like this happens it's a flag for me to stay away or take the dog. However Philly? I'd rather lay money on the Jets ml than the Phl ml right now
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Cincinnati at Indianapolis: Cincy lost what looked to be a blowout vs the ravens. But if you look closer, their defense played surprisingly well against one of the better offenses in the league. Burrow was again sacked like 47 times and the offense had trouble getting anything going. The Colts are coming off a loss to the Browns where its now becoming glaringly obvious that Old man Rivers is getting too old to be a starting QB for a team with this good of a defense and this good of an offensive line. I mean shit, you put Sam Darnold in this team and I bet he looks twice as good as Rivers. This will be an interesting game and I am excited to see Burrow get his second win ;)
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Green Bay at Tampa Bay: BATTLE OF THE BAYS 4-0 Packers traveling to Florida to take on the 3-2 Bucs. Both teams off rest with the Packers coming off a bye week and the Bucs playing the previous TNF. The Packers are getting Davante Adams and Mercedes Lewis back. The Bucs are getting back almost there whole offense in Godwin, Evans, and Fournette. Honestly, my algo has this game as TB -2.5. It targets the Bucs pass rush as being the difference maker in this one. When under pressure Rodgers goes from a passer rating of 141.1 and a completion % of 80 with 9.4 YPA all the way to a 68.8 passer rating with a completion % of 34.6 and 6YPA. So far this season the GB O line has protected Rodgers well. However, they have yet to face a formidable pass rush with their only challenges being MIN and NO, both shells of their former defenses.
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LA Rams at San Francisco 49ers: The Rams are turning into a very nice team this year. I have been high on them all season, and I will continue smoking that dooby for this game. Don't get me wrong, there is a reason this game is only 3.5 even though the Rams blew out their last opponent and the 49ers GOT blown out, but the Rams this year feel like the 49ers of last year. Stout defense, a committee of running backs, both of those elevating average QB play to above average. As you can see, without the dominant running game and stout defense, Jimmy G (or whoever plays QB for the previous SB finalist 49ers) struggles.
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NY Jets at Miami: No analysis for this one. I am skipping it except for some small plays on the Jets. I am not confident enough in MIA to take them as a large favorite. I am not comfortable enough in Joe Flaco to take him at this point in his career for any large amount. But, this is the NFL and any given Sunday so I feel there is always a little value on massive dogs that the public is against.
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Denver at New England: Both of these teams have been off the field so long, how can we know what to expect? Who is even QB for both of these teams? Is Cam back and if so, is he healthy? Personally I think it shouldn't matter too much for the overall winner of the game. You give me Billy B with two weeks to prepare and I'll take him coach for the Falcons over this Denver team. But the spread is a decent amount of points to cover with little knowledge on the status of the players. Outside of some ml parlays, I will be avoiding this game.
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***I put in a few bets at the beginning of the week to start getting the best of numbers I like. Sometimes my fade switches as I learn more info throughout the week. The bets with \** were all placed at the beginning of the week, so tail those with caution.*
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Singles (29-30, -2.56u)
Parlays (2-11, -14.09u)
Teasers (1-4, +23.85u)
BBDLS (0-27, -22.57u)
submitted by CreateYoureReality to CreateYoureReality [link] [comments]

NFL Futures - Betting on Tom Brady's Next Team

TL;DR Don’t Bet On Tom Brady’s Next Team
Everyone loves an interesting prop bet. But please don’t bet on which team Tom Brady will play for next.
I know it’s exciting and I know it’s fun to speculate. It also makes for great clickbait - both Action Network and ESPN have posted articles recently speculating on the odds of Tom Brady joining X team.
But what the Action Network (with a tagline “Smart betting made easy”) and ESPN neglect to tell you is that it is among the worst bets you can make.
Here’s why.
The Hold is…WHAT?!
The Action Network referenced odds from FanDuel in their article. They provide very little analysis (with incorrect calculations of implied probabilities) and four links to FanDuel to encourage you to place a wager into a market with a >30% hold for FanDuel.
Since odds are constantly moving, I grabbed the odds for this prop from FanDuel at 7:00pm ET on March 6th.
FanDuel Futures Odds - Tom Brady's Next Team
New England Patriots -155
Tennessee Titans +250
Los Angeles Chargers +750
Las Vegas Raiders +850
San Francisco 49ers +1000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1500
Dallas Cowboys +2900
Miami Dolphins +2900
New York Giants +2900
Indianapolis Colts +3700
No Team/Retired +3700
Chicago Bears +5000
Carolina Panthers +6000
At first glance, it’s hard to tell if this is a good or bad bet offering.
SPOILER ALERT: it’s bad. When we calculate the hold on this market it comes to 31.44%.
Hold Calculation
Clearly the Patriots are the favorite here. So why wouldn’t FanDuel simply offer up Patriots vs the Field?
For one, people love to bet on their favorite team rather than the “Field”. It’s exciting to get big odds on a long shot, and through our own biases we find ways to convince ourselves that X team "has value".
But FanDuel didn’t offer this variety of options to benefit you. They offered it to line their pockets with your money. You see, to get an equivalent hold (31.44%) on Patriots vs Field, FanDuel would have to offer Pats/Field at -155/-570. Yes, you read that correctly: -155/-570.
I could continue to trash on the Action Network, but I was always taught to give credit where credit’s due: FanDuel doesn’t even offer the worst odds on this prop.
We checked out the odds at several other sportsbooks offering this prop, namely Westgate (referenced by ESPN), William Hill, BetMGM and PointsBet. What we found were even more egregious offerings:
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Sportsbook Theoretical Hold
Westgate 28.57%
FanDuel 31.44%
William Hill 38.27%
BetMGM 41.28%
PointsBet 45.58%
Average 37.03%
Disgusting. Giving someone $1.00 today with the expectation of receiving $0.63 in return 6 months from now is borderline criminal. Do yourself a favor and find something else to bet on
submitted by cleatstreet to sportsbook [link] [comments]

RP-Excel | Week 5 Fantasy Projections Using RP1 **The Most Accurate Algorithmic System - 59.3% ATS YTD**

Greetings fellow fantasy fanatics!
After the success of my last post here I've decided to create a model that utilizes my RP1 algorithmic system for fantasy predictions in hopes of giving you an edge.
I will be posting this experimental system's predictions (using Fanduel scoring) every week moving forward. This is still a work in progress so all feedback is welcome!
Looking back to last week's NFL Score predictions (wk 4), RP1 model had a solid outing:
10-5 (66.7%) ATS |
11-5 (68.8%) O/U |
10-6 (62.5%) SU
Bringing 2017 NFL season totals to:
35-24 (59.3%) ATS |
37-23 (61.7%) O/U |
43-20 (68.3%) SU
ATS = Against the spread | O/U = Over Under | SU = Straight Up
I also had a subscriber win $14,900 off a $100 bet playing my Sunday trends in an 8 game parlay. The winner wished to remain anonymous but HERE is the ticket for proof.
My trend analysis is 100% free & emailed weekly as an excel file. I think it can be helpful with your fantasy football projections. You can find it on my site.
If you would like to see my week 5 betting predictions, I will be posting them on my website and over at /sportsbook tonight. I will stick to fantasy related projections here moving forward!
What is the RP1 System?
RP1 uses a combination of neural networks, genetic algorithms, and monte carlo simulations to predict the outcomes of games.
Here are my results over the last few years with NFL predictions against vegas lines: SU - straight up / ATS - against the spread 2012: 62.7% SU / 53.8% ATS 2013: 58.2% SU / 59% ATS 2014: 66.1% SU, 55.7% ATS 2015: 60.6% SU / 58.1% ATS 2016: 58.4% SU / 48% ATS OUCH! My worst season by far. I blame it on all the injuries lol!
As mentioned before adapted the RP1 model to predict fantasy points. The predictions for each position can be found below.
You may also notice the rpXL column. This is my projected amount of points.
DOES RP1 FACTOR IN INJURIES?
No. This system is a pure mathematical model. That being said I will try to update the list and remove injured as best I can with the help of my son throughout the week.
If I could have some volunteers to help me with this on a regular basis your help would be greatly appreciated.
RP-Excel RP1 Week 5 Algorithmic Rankings
Last updated (October 4, 11:38AM Eastern)
QB RANKINGS
Rank Player Team Opponent Games-2017 Salary rpXL
1 Aaron Rodgers GB DAL 4 $9,500 24.45
2 Tom Brady NE TB 4 $9,300 22.44
3 Dak Prescott DAL GB 4 $7,700 20.31
4 Marcus Mariota TEN MIA 4 $7,800 19.43
5 Russell Wilson SEA LAR 4 $8,000 19.30
6 Deshaun Watson HOU KC 4 $7,500 18.60
7 Tyrod Taylor BUF CIN 4 $7,200 17.71
8 Matthew Stafford DET CAR 4 $7,600 17.31
9 Carson Palmer ARI PHI 4 $7,200 17.15
10 Jameis Winston TB NE 3 $7,700 17.06
11 Philip Rivers LAC NYG 4 $7,300 16.71
12 Alex Smith KC HOU 4 $7,400 16.70
13 Cam Newton CAR DET 4 $7,800 16.16
14 Eli Manning NYG LAC 4 $7,000 16.16
15 Ben Roethlisberger PIT JAX 4 $7,900 15.98
16 Blake Bortles JAX PIT 4 $7,100 15.96
17 Jacoby Brissett IND SF 3 $7,000 15.93
18 Andy Dalton CIN BUF 4 $7,100 15.75
19 Case Keenum MIN CHI 3 $6,700 15.61
20 Josh McCown NYJ CLE 4 $6,800 14.99
21 Carson Wentz PHI ARI 4 $7,600 14.93
22 Deshone Kizer CLE NYJ 4 $6,900 14.37
23 Joe Flacco BAL OAK 4 $7,200 14.11
24 Brian Hoyer SF IND 4 $6,500 12.91
25 Jay Cutler MIA TEN 3 $6,700 12.68
26 Jared Goff LAR SEA 4 $7,000 10.63
RB RANKINGS
Rank Player Team Opponent Games-2017 Salary rpXL
1 Kareem Hunt KC HOU 4 $9,000 26.12
2 Ezekiel Elliott DAL GB 4 $8,900 21.00
3 Le'Veon Bell PIT JAX 4 $9,500 21.00
4 LeSean McCoy BUF CIN 4 $8,200 17.34
5 Melvin Gordon LAC NYG 4 $7,100 17.00
6 Leonard Fournette JAX PIT 4 $7,600 16.26
7 Jay Ajayi MIA TEN 3 $7,300 14.77
8 Carlos Hyde SF IND 4 $7,200 14.74
9 Bilal Powell NYJ CLE 3 $6,600 14.49
10 Jordan Howard CHI MIN 4 $6,700 14.43
11 Todd Gurley LAR SEA 4 $7,800 14.20
12 Frank Gore IND SF 3 $6,000 13.78
13 DeMarco Murray TEN MIA 4 $6,400 13.59
14 LeGarrette Blount PHI ARI 3 $5,900 13.49
15 Ty Montgomery GB DAL 4 $7,500 12.83
16 Matt Forte NYJ CLE 3 $5,300 12.56
17 Tarik Cohen CHI MIN 4 $5,600 11.84
18 Lamar Miller HOU KC 4 $6,500 11.38
19 Theo Riddick DET CAR 4 $5,200 11.14
20 Mike Gillislee NE TB 4 $5,900 10.94
21 Ameer Abdullah DET CAR 4 $6,000 10.88
22 Jacquizz Rodgers TB NE 3 $4,900 10.57
23 Terrance West BAL OAK 2 $5,400 10.53
24 Derrick Henry TEN MIA 3 $5,800 10.48
25 Jonathan Stewart CAR DET 4 $5,700 10.11
26 Isaiah Crowell CLE NYJ 4 $6,100 9.77
27 Duke Johnson CLE NYJ 4 $6,000 9.64
28 Javorius Allen BAL OAK 4 $5,100 9.63
29 Robert Turbin IND SF 3 $4,500 9.44
30 Giovani Bernard CIN BUF 3 $5,700 9.33
31 Jerick McKinnon MIN CHI 2 $5,800 9.22
32 James White NE TB 4 $5,300 9.03
33 Wendell Smallwood PHI ARI 2 $5,900 8.56
34 Christian McCaffrey CAR DET 4 $6,200 8.36
35 Marshawn Lynch OAK BAL 3 $6,100 7.40
36 Charcandrick West KC HOU 2 $5,400 6.88
37 Andre Ellington ARI PHI 4 $5,400 6.67
38 Chris Ivory JAX PIT 4 $4,700 6.50
39 Joe Mixon CIN BUF 3 $5,900 6.45
40 Shane Vereen NYG LAC 2 $4,900 6.20
41 Paul Perkins NYG LAC 3 $4,900 5.41
42 Kyle Juszczyk SF IND 2 $4,500 4.97
43 Mike Tolbert BUF CIN 2 $4,700 4.17
44 Chris Johnson ARI PHI 2 $5,700 3.92
45 Branden Oliver LAC NYG 2 $5,300 3.21
46 Charles Sims TB NE 3 $4,900 3.09
47 Kenyan Drake MIA TEN 2 $4,500 2.25
48 Tyler Ervin HOU KC 3 $4,500 0.82
WR RANKINGS
Rank Player Team Opponent Games-2017 Salary rpXL
1 Jordy Nelson GB DAL 3 $8,600 17.03
2 Odell Beckham Jr NYG LAC 3 $8,900 15.95
3 Mike Evans TB NE 3 $8,900 15.28
4 TY Hilton IND SF 4 $7,300 15.10
5 Antonio Brown PIT JAX 4 $8,800 15.06
6 Dez Bryant DAL GB 4 $7,800 14.47
7 AJ Green CIN BUF 4 $8,300 14.32
8 Davante Adams GB DAL 4 $6,900 14.02
9 Tyreek Hill KC HOU 4 $7,400 13.96
10 Brandin Cooks NE TB 4 $7,500 13.49
11 Stefon Diggs MIN CHI 4 $7,200 13.30
12 Keenan Allen LAC NYG 4 $7,500 12.94
13 Adam Thielen MIN CHI 4 $6,600 12.64
14 Golden Tate DET CAR 4 $6,700 12.51
15 Pierre Garcon SF IND 4 $6,700 12.49
16 Rishard Matthews TEN MIA 4 $5,600 12.41
17 Doug Baldwin SEA LAR 4 $7,300 12.39
18 Randall Cobb GB DAL 3 $6,600 11.63
19 Michael Crabtree OAK BAL 3 $6,900 11.54
20 Kenny Stills MIA TEN 3 $4,900 11.46
21 Jarvis Landry MIA TEN 3 $6,600 11.32
22 Donte Moncrief IND SF 4 $5,100 11.28
23 Amari Cooper OAK BAL 4 $6,800 11.10
24 Larry Fitzgerald ARI PHI 4 $6,700 11.08
25 Tyrell Williams LAC NYG 4 $6,500 11.04
26 Kenny Britt CLE NYJ 4 $5,200 10.77
27 Alshon Jeffery PHI ARI 4 $7,100 10.53
28 JJ Nelson ARI PHI 4 $5,300 10.51
29 Geronimo Allison GB DAL 3 $4,600 9.94
30 Devante Parker MIA TEN 3 $6,100 9.67
31 Chris Hogan NE TB 4 $7,000 9.67
32 Robby Anderson NYJ CLE 4 $5,400 9.44
33 DeSean Jackson TB NE 3 $6,500 9.43
34 Sterling Shepard NYG LAC 4 $6,000 9.35
35 DeAndre Hopkins HOU KC 4 $7,700 9.25
36 Sammy Watkins LAR SEA 4 $6,600 8.75
37 Jeremy Kerley NYJ CLE 3 $4,700 8.74
38 Kenny Golladay DET CAR 3 $5,100 8.68
39 Aldrick Robinson SF IND 2 $4,600 8.62
40 Mike Wallace BAL OAK 4 $5,400 8.48
41 Kelvin Benjamin CAR DET 3 $6,400 8.41
42 Jermaine Kearse NYJ CLE 4 $5,600 8.40
43 Brandon LaFell CIN BUF 4 $4,600 8.20
44 Marqise Lee JAX PIT 4 $5,800 8.17
45 Cole Beasley DAL GB 4 $5,000 8.15
46 Travis Benjamin LAC NYG 4 $5,200 7.94
47 Albert Wilson KC HOU 4 $4,700 7.93
48 Tyler Lockett SEA LAR 4 $5,600 7.87
49 Cooper Kupp LAR SEA 4 $5,700 7.73
50 Paul Richardson SEA LAR 4 $5,100 7.54
51 Allen Hurns JAX PIT 4 $6,000 7.37
52 Danny Amendola NE TB 3 $6,000 7.35
53 Devin Funchess CAR DET 4 $6,300 7.32
54 Brandon Marshall NYG LAC 4 $5,800 7.17
55 Adam Humphries TB NE 3 $4,700 7.05
56 Kendall Wright CHI MIN 4 $5,300 6.99
57 Deonte Thompson CHI MIN 4 $4,500 6.99
58 Jaron Brown ARI PHI 4 $4,500 6.96
59 Marvin Jones DET CAR 4 $5,500 6.82
60 Cordarrelle Patterson OAK BAL 4 $4,800 6.81
61 Trent Taylor SF IND 4 $4,500 6.73
62 Jeremy Maclin BAL OAK 4 $6,500 6.73
63 Terrance Williams DAL GB 4 $4,900 6.70
64 Martavis Bryant PIT JAX 4 $5,700 6.61
65 John Brown ARI PHI 2 $6,200 6.45
66 Marquise Goodwin SF IND 4 $5,300 6.34
67 Torrey Smith PHI ARI 4 $5,100 5.98
68 Seth Roberts OAK BAL 4 $4,900 5.90
69 Kamar Aiken IND SF 3 $4,600 5.89
70 Corey Davis TEN MIA 2 $5,400 5.85
71 Nelson Agholor PHI ARI 4 $5,100 5.84
72 Robert Woods LAR SEA 4 $5,700 5.84
73 Eli Rogers PIT JAX 3 $4,700 5.76
74 Brice Butler DAL GB 3 $4,700 5.73
75 Juju Smith-Schuster PIT JAX 4 $5,400 5.66
76 Phillip Dorsett NE TB 2 $5,100 5.58
77 Rashard Higgins CLE NYJ 3 $4,900 5.37
78 Bruce Ellington HOU KC 3 $4,800 5.11
79 Tyler Boyd CIN BUF 3 $4,600 4.90
80 Ricardo Louis CLE NYJ 3 $4,500 4.86
81 Andre Holmes BUF CIN 4 $4,600 4.82
82 Breshad Perriman BAL OAK 4 $4,600 4.76
83 Eric Decker TEN MIA 4 $5,400 4.72
84 Russell Shepard CAR DET 4 $5,200 4.32
85 Josh Bellamy CHI MIN 3 $4,500 4.19
86 Roger Lewis NYG LAC 2 $4,500 4.16
87 Chris Conley KC HOU 4 $4,600 4.04
88 Markus Wheaton CHI MIN 2 $4,600 3.29
89 Alex Erickson CIN BUF 2 $4,500 3.26
90 Ardarius Stewart NYJ CLE 2 $4,500 3.17
91 Taywan Taylor TEN MIA 2 $4,500 2.33
92 Laquon Treadwell MIN CHI 4 $4,600 1.96
93 Zay Jones BUF CIN 4 $4,500 1.85
94 Chris Godwin TB NE 2 $4,500 0.27
95 Keelan Cole JAX PIT 3 $4,500 0.05
TE RANKINGS
Rank Player Team Opponent Games-2017 Salary rpXL
1 Rob Gronkowski NE TB 4 $7,800 15.56
2 Zach Ertz PHI ARI 4 $6,600 11.21
3 Travis Kelce KC HOU 4 $7,000 11.09
4 Delanie Walker TEN MIA 4 $6,000 10.58
5 Cameron Brate TB NE 3 $5,500 9.93
6 Evan Engram NYG LAC 4 $5,400 9.14
7 Kyle Rudolph MIN CHI 4 $5,200 9.04
8 Jimmy Graham SEA LAR 4 $5,800 9.01
9 Jason Witten DAL GB 4 $5,400 8.72
10 Jack Doyle IND SF 4 $5,100 8.46
11 Charles Clay BUF CIN 4 $5,700 8.42
12 Martellus Bennett GB DAL 4 $5,300 8.28
13 Antonio Gates LAC NYG 4 $4,600 8.10
14 Jared Cook OAK BAL 4 $5,300 8.08
15 Hunter Henry LAC NYG 4 $5,200 7.62
16 Eric Ebron DET CAR 4 $5,200 7.59
17 Julius Thomas MIA TEN 3 $4,800 7.19
18 Benjamin Watson BAL OAK 4 $5,100 7.18
19 Zach Miller CHI MIN 4 $4,900 6.86
20 David Njoku CLE NYJ 4 $4,500 6.68
21 Luke Willson SEA LAR 3 $4,500 6.31
22 Garrett Celek SF IND 2 $4,500 6.24
23 OJ Howard TB NE 3 $4,800 6.16
24 Dwayne Allen NE TB 3 $4,500 6.13
25 Lance Kendricks GB DAL 2 $4,500 5.77
26 Will Tye NYJ CLE 3 $4,500 5.75
27 Austin Seferian-Jenkins NYJ CLE 2 $5,500 5.74
28 Seth DeValve CLE NYJ 4 $4,500 5.61
29 Jonnu Smith TEN MIA 4 $4,500 5.34
30 Jermaine Gresham ARI PHI 3 $4,500 5.11
31 George Kittle SF IND 4 $4,500 4.86
32 Rhett Ellison NYG LAC 3 $4,500 4.85
33 James Hanna DAL GB 2 $4,500 4.72
34 Jesse James PIT JAX 4 $4,900 4.10
35 Ryan Griffin HOU KC 2 $4,500 3.84
36 Marcedes Lewis JAX PIT 4 $4,500 3.80
37 Tyler Kroft CIN BUF 3 $5,500 3.57
38 Dion Sims CHI MIN 4 $4,500 3.48
39 Nick Boyle BAL OAK 4 $4,500 2.64
40 Ed Dickson CAR DET 4 $4,700 2.55
41 Demetrius Harris KC HOU 4 $4,500 2.20
42 Darren Fells DET CAR 4 $4,500 2.02
43 Nick O'Leary BUF CIN 4 $4,500 1.52
44 Tyler Higbee LAR SEA 4 $4,500 1.11
45 Gerald Everett LAR SEA 2 $4,500 1.09
46 Stephen Anderson HOU KC 3 $4,500 0.81
47 Troy Niklas ARI PHI 2 $4,500 -0.67
DEF RANKINGS
Rank Player Team Opponent Games-2017 Salary rpXL
1 Kansas City Chiefs KC HOU 4 $4,900 9.57
2 New York Giants NYG LAC 4 $4,200 8.80
3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers TB NE 3 $4,100 8.80
4 Baltimore Ravens BAL OAK 4 $4,500 8.64
5 Philadelphia Eagles PHI ARI 4 $4,600 8.36
6 Indianapolis Colts IND SF 4 $4,400 7.93
7 Detroit Lions DET CAR 4 $4,700 7.85
8 Seattle Seahawks SEA LAR 4 $5,100 7.83
9 Miami Dolphins MIA TEN 3 $4,100 7.59
10 Arizona Cardinals ARI PHI 4 $4,300 7.59
11 Pittsburgh Steelers PIT JAX 4 $4,800 7.33
12 Minnesota Vikings MIN CHI 4 $5,000 7.24
13 Green Bay Packers GB DAL 4 $4,500 7.13
14 Carolina Panthers CAR DET 4 $4,400 6.92
15 New England Patriots NE TB 4 $4,400 6.86
16 Oakland Raiders OAK BAL 4 $4,300 6.59
17 Los Angeles Chargers LAC NYG 4 $4,500 6.54
18 Dallas Cowboys DAL GB 4 $4,400 5.93
19 Cincinnati Bengals CIN BUF 4 $4,500 5.80
20 Tennessee Titans TEN MIA 4 $4,500 5.50
21 Jacksonville Jaguars JAX PIT 4 $4,700 5.48
22 Buffalo Bills BUF CIN 4 $4,600 5.37
23 New York Jets NYJ CLE 4 $4,300 5.29
24 San Francisco 49ers SF IND 4 $4,200 4.92
25 Los Angeles Rams LAR SEA 4 $4,800 4.70
26 Houston Texans HOU KC 4 $4,300 4.57
27 Chicago Bears CHI MIN 4 $4,000 4.27
28 Cleveland Browns CLE NYJ 4 $4,300 3.81
KICKER RANKINGS
Rank Player Team Opponent Games-2017 Salary rpXL
1 Jake Elliott PHI ARI 3 $4,700 13.99
2 Adam Vinatieri IND SF 4 $4,500 9.93
3 Chandler Catanzaro NYJ CLE 4 $4,600 9.85
4 Matt Prater DET CAR 4 $4,900 9.48
5 Stephen Gostkowski NE TB 4 $5,200 9.43
6 Ryan Succop TEN MIA 4 $4,700 9.13
7 Justin Tucker BAL OAK 4 $4,800 9.08
8 Giorgio Tavecchio OAK BAL 4 $4,800 9.07
9 Ka'imi Fairbairn HOU KC 4 $4,700 9.04
10 Steven Hauschka BUF CIN 4 $4,800 8.66
11 Dan Bailey DAL GB 4 $5,100 8.55
12 Mason Crosby GB DAL 4 $5,000 8.42
13 Kai Forbath MIN CHI 4 $4,600 8.32
14 Robbie Gould SF IND 4 $4,500 8.29
15 Graham Gano CAR DET 4 $5,000 7.92
16 Jason Myers JAX PIT 4 $4,600 7.66
17 Cody Parkey MIA TEN 3 $4,500 7.15
18 Greg Zuerlein LAR SEA 4 $5,300 7.02
19 Nick Folk TB NE 3 $4,500 6.83
20 Chris Boswell PIT JAX 4 $4,700 6.81
21 Phil Dawson ARI PHI 4 $4,600 6.59
22 Randy Bullock CIN BUF 4 $4,500 6.11
23 Blair Walsh SEA LAR 4 $4,800 5.87
24 Aldrick Rosas NYG LAC 4 $4,500 5.02
25 Connor Barth CHI MIN 4 $4,500 4.95
26 Younghoe Koo LAC NYG 4 $4,500 4.84
27 Zane Gonzalez CLE NYJ 4 $4,500 4.05
submitted by rpexcel to fantasyfootball [link] [comments]

A Look at the Week 8 Slate of Games through the lens of the Vegas lines for Fantasy Football Purposes

**edit This write up is based on daily fantasy football, not necessarily redraft leagues. That said the insight from the Vegas lines should help with sit start decisions between players with similar rankings
VEGAS LINES
Date & Time Favorite Line Underdog Total
10/23 8:25 ET At Denver -7.5 San Diego 51.5
10/26 9:30 AM Detroit -4 Atlanta (At London) 47
10/26 1:00 ET At Tampa Bay -3 Minnesota 42
10/26 1:00 ET At New England -6.5 Chicago 50
10/26 1:00 ET At Kansas City -6.5 St. Louis 43.5
10/26 1:00 ET Seattle -4.5 At Carolina 44.5
10/26 1:00 ET At NY Jets -3 Buffalo 41
10/26 1:00 ET Miami -5.5 At Jacksonville 43
10/26 1:00 ET Houston -1 At Tennessee 43.5
10/26 1:00 ET At Cincinnati -1.5 Baltimore 46
10/26 4:05 ET At Arizona -2.5 Philadelphia 48
10/26 4:25 ET Indianapolis -3 At Pittsburgh 49
10/26 4:25 ET At Cleveland -7 Oakland 43.5
10/26 8:30 ET At New Orleans -1.5 Green Bay 55
Monday Night Football Line
10/27 8:30 ET At Dallas -9.5 Washington 50
VEGAS LINES ANALYSIS
Thursday Game SD @ DEN - If the Chargers are going to have any chance to beat Denver in this game they will have to pound the run and keep the ball away from the Denver offense. Last season they pulled it off when they traveled to Denver and got an unlikely win on the back of a big day from Ryan Matthews. Vegas doesn't think they will pull it off again this season. The Broncos are a heavy favorite in this game for good reason. Fire up Peyton, DT, Sanders, Orange Crush and my man Ronnie Hillman for this game. For the Chargers it's all hands on deck as well. Sunday Morning
London: Detroit vs Atlanta - Atlanta's defense is bad and their O-Line is horrible. Detroit has the number one defense in the league right now. Vegas sees a close, fairly high scoring game here. I'm still on the Golden Tate train this week. Fire him up against the soft Atlanta secondary. Stafford makes for an ok play as well this week. I will avoid all Atlanta players in this one. Detroit Defense is in play here as well.
Min @ TB - Vegas sees this game as low scoring and close. I see two bad teams with non-existent defenses squaring off. In situations like this I tend to gravitate towards the home team. I'd be ok punting with Glennon at QB this week. I also don't mind Vincent Jackson or Mike Evans as GPP fliers. On the Minnesota side Jerrick Mckinnon makes for a quality punt at RB.
CHI @ NE - Vegas is looking for a big game from the heavy favorite Patriots at home. I like both offenses in this one. Yes I know Cutler laid an egg at home last week. I'd assume Cutler and his pass catchers will probably be avoided by the herd this week, I like the upside and Cutler tends to play better on the road anyway. This game could easily evolve in to a highly competitive shootout. I'm comfortable with Brady, Vereen and Gronk in this one. Gronk is my top TE play of the week.
STL @ KC - Not much to say here. KC is a heavy favorite at home going against a mediocre Rams team. Vegas sees a low scoring affair. I LOVE Jamal Charles at home this week. I'd also consider rolling with Kelce as a high upside TE punt. KC defense is in play as well this week.
SEA @ CAR - Two patterns have emerged this season that pertain to this game. First is that the Seattle defense has taken a step back and is not the "avoid at all costs" unit it was last season. Second is that Wilson has put up more fantasy points in road games then at home this season. The low O/U is a bit concerning here but Wilson, Lynch, Baldwin, Newton, Olsen and Benjamin are all playable this week. Olsen has the best matchup of the group as Seattle has been particularly vulnerable to TE's this season.
BUF @ NYJ - This game features the lowest O/U of the week. Buffalo lost both of their starting RB's last week and should be rolling out Bryce Brown. Brown burst on to the scene last season filling in for the injured Shady and putting up an epic two week fantasy points bonanza. As ugly as this matchup looks on paper I could see rolling out Brown in a GPP or two just to see if lightning strikes twice. Brown's potential this week is tempered by Dixon, the fat plodder that is currently ahead of Brown on the depth chart. In addition the Jets run defense has been pretty good this season particularly at home. Both defenses are in play this week for this game. That's about it.
MIA @ JAC - This is another game that the odds-makers see as a low scoring turd fest. Jacksonville's Defense hasn't been that bad at home this season. That was before they lost their best Defensive player, LB Poslusny, for the season last week. I like Lamar Miller in this one. Miami Defense is in play as well.
HOU @ TEN - Another supposedly low scoring affair (43.5 O/U). Locker is expected to return for this game. He's actually been pretty good this season when he's played. That said with JJ Watt and the Houston D line I'd expect Locker to be harassed all day. Arian Foster is always playable and this week is no different. Hopkins and Andre have been up and down this season. I don't see much reason to target players from this game.
BAL @ CIN - This is one of those games that could go either way. The O/U of 46 is on the low side for the week. Both teams play really solid defense. Baltimore is particularly good at home. I could see a scenario where its a back and fourth battle that becomes high scoring, but I can equally envision a scenario where it becomes a low scoring defensive battle. It's a division game, both teams know each other really well. I'll probably avoid this one completely this week.
PHI @ AZ - Another game that Vegas sees as close and high scoring. The 48 O/U on this game in on the high side for the week's slate of games. The Center for the Eagles looks like he will be back and ready to go this weekend. McCoy getting better each week. Arizona is at home with Palmer back at the helm. It should be a shootout. Foles, Maclin, McCoy, Palmer Elligton are all in play.
IND @ PIT - With a 49 O/U this is another game that is supposed to be high scoring. Pittsburgh hasn't been great on Defense this season. Luck is great and is putting up points at a ridiculous rate. T.Y Hilton is in play as is Bradshaw. Same goes for Ben, Bell and Brown.
OAK @ CLE - You never know what will happen when two below average teams meet. I generally lean toward the home team in these types of games. Cleveland is heavily favored in this low scoring affair. Ben Tate is a good bet to see 25 touches this week.
GB @ NO - The 55 O/U for this game is the highest I've seen this season. Every player on offense for both teams are in play. Rodgers, Nelson, Cobb, and Lacy. Adams is an interesting Punt. For the Saints, Brees, Marques and Graham are all solid plays.
Monday Night
WAS @ DAL - Dallas is heavily favored on Monday Night. Vegas is looking for a lot of scoring. The Dallas offense is a solid play as a whole. Murray has been unstoppable this season, Dez and Williams are in play. I like the Dallas defense in this one as well. With the third stringer starting for Washington this week I could see a scenario where Dallas Defense feasts.
Read the Whole Thing
submitted by chiefst to fantasyfootball [link] [comments]

can i bet on fanduel in tennessee video

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