The past 5 trading days have shown strong reversal patterns for these three miners and although, less pronounced - $VALE.
$BHP, $RIO &$VALE - #2, #3 & #5 miners in the world respectively.

#2 BHP Group Ltd. (BHP)

• Revenue (TTM): $42.9 billion
• Net Income (TTM): $8.0 billion
• Market Cap: $137.2 billion
• 1-Year Trailing Total Return: 9.9%
• Exchange: New York Stock Exchange

BHP is an Australia-based international resources company. It explores and mines minerals, including coal, iron ore, gold, titanium, ferroalloys, nickel, and copper properties. It also offers petroleum exploration, production, and refining services. The company serves customers worldwide.
https://preview.redd.it/v43u814qkdg61.jpg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f0fde0484907cf816ce1f5489dea0e40b0f86832
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https://preview.redd.it/yfbb6i2vwdg61.jpg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=652a0d1c8a8f2efa9366cb5d5e79a4bd779cd4c6

#3 Rio Tinto PLC (RIO)

• Revenue (TTM): $41.8 billion
• Net Income (TTM): $7.2 billion
• Market Cap: $79.8 billion
• 1-Year Trailing Total Return: 21.0%
• Exchange: New York Stock Exchange

https://preview.redd.it/7gygeosskdg61.jpg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5dbbecdd8ba4f2d8392c8337b5c52a4760bf990b

#5 Vale SA (VALE)

• Revenue (TTM): $34.7 billion
• Net Income (TTM): $1.3 billion
• Market Cap: $59.9 billion
• 1-Year Trailing Total Return: -3.7%
• Exchange: New York Stock Exchange

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https://preview.redd.it/avmhkuuwkdg61.jpg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e5f590de8987b9c5dff61f7d3dd1904605d52cfd
I know what you are thinking - "this must be part of the steel play you've been talking about non-stop since December. . .blah, blah, blah. . .yeah, we know. . .don't need anymore CB from you."
That's Confirmation Bias for the newbies.
I know, if you are here you know about steel and why I like $MT - hey, it was up today - I think we see more price run due to $MT being able to unload $CLF shares - which I also think is bullish for $CLF and yes, I'm buying more $CLF on the dip tomorrow.
It was a brilliant move, in my opinion, by our boy, LG @ $CLF.
He clears the deck before the earnings call and this is seen as a bullish move to pay off 9.875% high interest notes with a share offering of 60 million, 40 million of which is being sold by $MT.
20 million shares by $CLF.
I'll have more coming on these two, but I like the move for both.
So, back to the miners - $BHP, $FCX, $RIO & $VALE.
I do like the iron ore play on steel and believe we will see elevated prices considerably above historic norms for the remainder of 2021.
However, what I like more than iron ore are the metals that are going into smartphones, computers, and batteries for EV's and infrastructure.
So, we have:
$BHP - https://www.bhp.com/our-businesses/
$FCX - https://fcx.com/
$RIO - https://www.riotinto.com/products
$VALE - http://www.vale.com/EN/business/mining/Pages/default.aspx
The increased demand of:
NICKEL - been on a tear since March lows https://www.investing.com/commodities/nickel-historical-data - the price is more tied to stainless steel, but Battery Plays are driving speculation.
COPPER - The price of copper is believed to provide a reliable measure of economic health, as changes to copper prices can suggest global growth or an upcoming recession. With high volatility and strong liquidity, copper is attractive to traders. Copper spot price is affected by extraction and transportation costs, as well as supply and demand.
​
https://preview.redd.it/q7im2jyesdg61.png?width=2004&format=png&auto=webp&s=647e1ce78cdef7e774eb8b6161ee18c019d2c994
ZINC - sharp recovery since March lows, following all other metals - https://uszinc.com/services/lme-pricing/
ALUMINUM - recovery following other metals to new highs:
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https://preview.redd.it/4t5icp7atdg61.png?width=1222&format=png&auto=webp&s=483d5c88a01399ea47ad28278d0a9f27f2bdbe5e
BTW, I'm bullish AF on $AA, but that too is a DD for another day.
Now the Confirmation Bias:

COPPER

https://www.mining.com/copper-price-lifted-by-us-stimulus-china-inventory-squeeze/
Copper prices rose on Monday as optimism around a US stimulus raised hopes of higher demand for metals and a recovery in the world’s biggest economy.
The copper price rose as much as 1.3% to $3.6745 ($8,100 a tonne) on the Comex market on Monday, with March delivery contracts back within shouting distance of multi-year highs hit early in January.
The metal has rallied nearly 90% since the depth of the pandemic in March.

Thinning inventories

The rise in copper prices is underpinned by thinning inventories that pointed to higher demand for the industrial metal.
“Inventories are still quite low on exchanges. That gives good indication that manufacturing demand for copper is present and that its not just a speculative story,” Nitesh Shah, an analyst at investment manager WisdomTree, told Reuters.
In China, the world’s top consumer, copper inventories normally accumulate in the run up to the Lunar New Year as businesses close for the week-long festivities.
But this year, Chinese inventories have dropped to near decade lows on robust demand from factories, which are maintaining high operating rates due to shortened shutdown periods and tighter travel restrictions for workers.
Meanwhile, effects of the coronavirus pandemic on copper supply continues to be felt. In what was supposed to be a year of supply growth, global mined output during the first 10 months of 2020 were 0.5% lower compared to 2019 levels, according to the International Copper Study Group (ICSG).
In Peru, the world’s second-biggest producer, copper output plunged 12.5% to 2.15 million tonnes in 2020, the country’s Energy and Mines Ministry said on Monday.

Copper miners gain

Despite copper prices hitting a slump in the second half of January, the world’s top copper producers have continued to rally this year after spectacular gains in 2020.
Shares of BHP, the largest publicly traded copper company, are up 6% year-to-date.
Copper, like most commodities, has been a cyclical investment whose demand ebbs and flows with economic cycles. Traditionally, roughly half of all copper demand has come from new building construction and infrastructure, China has been the single biggest market by far. With many global economies in or entering recovery phases, cyclical demand is on the upswing.
Green initiatives around the world offer a secular tailwind as well. The European Green Deal, President Joe Biden’s ambitious climate plan, and China’s target of carbon neutral by 2060 all point to increasing incremental demand for copper.
Although mining stocks have in many cases quadrupled since their March 2020 lows, many names are still trading below their previous highs, and at a time when fundamentals are improving.
Take Freeport-McMoRan, $FCX, a Phoenix-based company whose business is roughly 70% copper, 20% gold, and 10% other. The stock plummeted to $7 a share during the selloff last spring and has since recovered to a recent $30. But it is still about half what it was at previous highs of around $60 in early 2008 and 2011.
The big news on copper yesterday was regarding $RIO and the Mongolian situation.
Feb 8 (Reuters) - Mongolia's government is seeking to cancel a deal with miner Rio Tinto to expand the OyuTolgoi copper mine in the Gobi Desert and replace it with a new agreement, the Financial Times reported.
https://www.miningweekly.com/article/mongolia-seeks-more-tax-revenue-from-rio-copper-mine-expansion--source-2021-02-09/rep_id:3650
Many thought this was potentially bad news for $RIO, but it appears it's about working out a little more tax dollars for the government and a deal will be struck.
The underground expansion will push annual production to nearly 500,000 tonnes per year, making it among the world’s biggest copper mines

Global copper demand

As mentioned above, it’s not likely that copper demand will slow down in 2021.
In the US, new home and home renovation demand spiked since the pandemic started, along with electronics demand. Analysts at CitiBank expect the copper market to shift into a deficit in the second half of the year with a minor surplus overall for 2021, Reuters reported. They also forecast deficits in 2022 and 2023.
The US Census Bureau and the US Department of Housing and Urban Development reported building permits in December increased by 4.5% compared to November and 17.3% above the December 2019 rate. Privately owned housing continued to increase in December, rising by 5.8% from the previous month and by 5.2% compared to December 2019. The uptrend started in September 2020.
China will continue to play an important role in the copper market. The country accounts for about half of global primary consumption, which is then used to manufacture export goods.
According to the aforementioned Reuters report, appliances output also increased in China. Similarly, China’s refrigerators exports went up by 45% in December 2020 compared to December 2019. During the same period, exports of microwave ovens rose by 35%.

Indonesian copper smelter

Indonesian politician Luhut Pandjaitan, said Freeport-McMoRan, $FCX and Tsingshan Holding Group reached a $2.8 billion deal to build a copper smelter in Indonesia’s Weda Bay. The smelter would process copper concentrate from the Grasberg mine. Luhut did not report a timeline, per the report.
“The smelter will produce copper pipes and wires of which output can be worth $10 billion or more,” the minister reportedly told IDX Channel. The smelter will aim to produce copper products to be used in lithium battery components. Indonesia is working to build an electric vehicle supply chain, as it is also a major nickel producer.

ALUMINUM

https://www.thomasnet.com/insights/aluminum-can-sourcing-sees-unprecedented-surge-amid-white-claw-truly-hard-seltzer-craze/
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-01-19/aluminum-buyers-forced-to-pay-up-after-underestimating-recovery - more profits coming.
All told, the outlook for aluminum in 2021 looks better than it did even three months ago. Fourth quarter prices rose about 9% yoy and 12% qoq to $1,914/t, the best prices since the fourth quarter of 2018. What's more, with the global economy recovering, management is calling for roughly 7% demand growth in '21, ahead of supply growth, and a more balance market for the year.
With that, I think there's a good chance for aluminum prices to average out over $2,100/t in 2021 - the best price on an annual basis since 2011 (though just barely above 2008). As always, a great deal rides on China - Chinese producers have a history of being less than responsible when it comes to supply, but Chinese demand is looking more robust and the government has been increasingly stringent with less efficient, more polluting smelters, so the volume risk here may not be as troubling as before.
Then the big news many in the US had been waiting for and potentially an insight to what Biden will do about Section 232 Steel Tariffs;
https://agmetalminer.com/2021/02/08/aluminum-mmi-us-reinstates-tariff-on-aluminum-imported-from-uae/

High aluminum scrap demand

A Midwest-based trader told Construction & Demolition Recycling that demand for aluminum scrap remains high at secondary smelters that supply the automotive industry in the U.S.
Chad Kripke, an executive vice president of Kripke Enterprise, a nonferrous scrap brokerage firm, confirmed that many sellers are relying on the spot market rather than signing contracts for 2021. This signals that it is a seller’s market.
This market environment is due to the reduced flows of scrap, which has caused spreads to tighten. As a result, secondary producers are opting to purchase scrap at what they might view as high prices rather than risking a lack of material.
The Application of the World Aluminum Alloy Sheet Market 2021-2027 as follows:
Building and construction Automobiles and transport Aerospace and defence Industrial and general engineering
This screams recovery play and Infrastructure spending.

NICKEL & ZINC

You really can't mention one without the other, especially when it comes to batteries:
Nickel-zinc (NiZn) chemistries are the primary competitors displacing lead-acid in the marketplace. Both promise smaller footprints and longer operational life than lead-acid batteries. While the tradeoffs of lithium-ion batteries are more well known, given their wide use in other energy storage applications, NiZn technology has specific advantages in terms of reliability, safety, and sustainability over both lead-acid and lithium-ion solutions.
It is abundantly clear that the future of high energy batteries will converge on layered oxides increasingly rich in nickel. ... Early lithium-ion batteries comprised a cathode of lithium cobalt oxide [LiCoO2] and an anode of graphitic carbon. Cobalt can be replaced by other metals such as manganese, nickel, and aluminum.
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https://preview.redd.it/5vs07d488eg61.png?width=1214&format=png&auto=webp&s=3e7482bf908e4c8c665cb815fdc257f77c6390b1
With the rising demand for EVs, the need to secure critical nickel supplies is becoming ever more pressing for battery producers and automakers alike.
Fitch currently forecasts global EV sales to rise by 41.9% to reach over 4.3mn units in 2021 with sales expected to breach the 14mn mark by 2030. This accelerated pace of EV sales growth will place strong upward pressure on the price of raw materials used in batteries and will force battery producers to develop more affordable batteries, Fitch asserts, which more often than not means higher nickel content and lower cobalt content.
And the 500 Pound Gorilla - $TSLA
https://www.mining.com/tesla-investment-to-position-indonesia-as-ev-battery-production-hub-report/
BTW, do you know who the largest nickel miner in Indonesia is?
$VALE
http://www.vale.com/indonesia/EN/investors/indonesia-investors/company/at-glance/Pages/default.aspx
$VALE + $TSLA = $VALE's moon rocket. . .
As I have said from my first postings in this series on steel, scrap, ore - these metals I have just listed will be the complimentary plays becoming the body of 2021, with steel remaining the backbone.
Some extra knowledge on the most expensive metals as of today and a good stock to capture the increased costs and demand:

Rhodium

Relatively unknown to the layperson, rhodium is quietly one of the hottest trades right now, after a price surge of more than 30% this year. Rhodium previously peaked – and quickly crashed – in 2008 at more than $10,000 per troy ounce (ozt), but the metal is now trading above that 2008 high on the back of a swell in demand from the automotive industry.
Rhodium is used in catalytic converters, a part of vehicle exhaust systems that reduce toxic gas emissions and pollutants. According to S&P Global Platts, almost 80% of demand for rhodium and palladium comes from the global automotive industry. Fortunately for South Africa at least, around 80% of all rhodium is mined within its borders.
Part of the reason for the metal’s price leap is its rarity. Annual rhodium production sits at around 30 tonnes – to place that in context, gold miners annually dig up between 2,500 and 3,000 tonnes of the precious metal. Rhodium also benefitted from the Volkswagen emissions scandal, or Dieselgate, the 2015 emissions scandal that rocked the automotive industry. With major economies including China and India tightening emissions rules, platinum group metals (PGM) miners are anticipating good times ahead for rhodium.

Palladium

Rhodium’s little brother palladium also did well out of the Dieselgate scandal. After sales of diesel vehicles slumped and petrol alternatives came back into fashion, platinum – used primarily in catalytic converters for diesel vehicles – took a tumble, while petrol-friendly palladium rose.
Palladium is the most expensive of the four major precious metals – gold, silver and platinum being the others. It is rarer than platinum, and is used in larger quantities for catalytic converters. In the near-term, the demand for metals used in catalytic converters is expected to be steady, buoyed by growing automotive sales in Asia. However, the increased uptake of battery-electric vehicles – which do not use catalytic converters – could see palladium demand take a hit.

Platinum

The namesake of the platinum-group metals is also the worst-performing on the market, having taken a huge hit from the Volkswagen emissions scandal. Platinum’s primary use has been in catalytic converters for diesel vehicles – 45% of the platinum sold in 2014 went to the automotive industry. As consumers and manufacturers moved away from diesel in the wake of Dieselgate, platinum lost out to palladium, which performs better in petrol vehicles.
Platinum traditionally traded at a higher price than gold and combined with platinum’s rarity compared with gold, “platinum” as an adjective has come to be associated with a higher level of prestige than gold. Despite platinum’s troubles and gold now trading above it, that reputation has stayed.
Platinum deposits are largely concentrated in South Africa, with the country supplying around three-quarters of the world’s demand. Anglo American Platinum, Impala Platinum and Lonmin make up the top global platinum producers.
Which brings me to Sibayne Stillwater - $SBSW, which has also shown a strong reversal over the same time as these other stocks shared above:
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https://preview.redd.it/qo083s8ofgg61.png?width=1170&format=png&auto=webp&s=3c54b8a6a79bb8d85fd72eadf13cf2735bf3a8b3
https://www.sibanyestillwater.com/about-us/
Sibanye-Stillwater is a leading international precious metals mining company, with a diverse portfolio of platinum group metal (PGM) operations in the United States and Southern Africa, gold operations and projects in South Africa, and copper, gold and PGM exploration properties in North and South America.
It is the world’s largest primary producer of platinum and rhodium, the second largest primary producer of palladium and a top tier gold producer, ranking third globally, on a gold-equivalent basis, as well as a significant producer of other PGMs and associated minerals such as chrome. SBSW is also the globally leading recycler and processor of spent PGM catalytic converter materials.
https://www.kitco.com/news/2021-02-05/Sibanye-Stillwater-earnings-surge-on-higher-metal-prices-and-solid-performance.html
Sibanye-Stillwater said despite COVID-19 disruptions, its expected earnings increase was underpinned by a solid operational performance, higher metals prices and a weaker rand.
"The production contribution from the Marikana operations for the full 12-month period, following the acquisition of Lonmin in June 2019 and the realisation of significantly higher than forecast synergies, along with a notable return to profitability from the SA gold operations, following the strike in H1 2019, were the main drivers of this operational performance," the company said.
The Minerals Council South Africa recently estimated the country's production was down 10-12% in 2020 due to the pandemic and logistical shortcomings but mining GDP was only down 4% thanks to the rise in commodity prices.
Everything I have laid out on previous DD's regarding steel and metals are all based on recovery demand, global infrastructure investment which will ultimately cost $$$. This money is going to be printed by the US treasury, which will further weaken the $USD and this weakening in the value of the dollar will increase the value of commodities proportionally.
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https://preview.redd.it/6jhk8gigjgg61.png?width=1948&format=png&auto=webp&s=4a1084854d8a719bf0f1a70c3f798720f4e3ad9e
Expect the value of the DXY to touch 52 week lows of $89.21 and most likely set lower lows as TRILLIONS more are printed and put into the economy.
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/14/powell-sees-no-interest-rate-hikes-on-the-horizon-as-long-as-inflation-stays-low.html
The Fed currently is keeping its benchmark short-term borrowing rate anchored near zero and is buying $120 billion in bonds. At its December meeting, it said those measures would stay in place until substantial progress is made towards the Fed’s inflation and employment goals.
That means the central bank will be more inclined to allow inflation to run higher than the standard 2% target before hiking interest rates.
I believe we will see inflation continue to run on commodities.
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/12/feds-esther-george-cautions-that-inflation-could-rise-faster-than-expected.html
Inflation could rise faster than “some might expect” as the economy recovers from the pandemic, Kansas City Fed President Esther George said.
Lastly, oil.
I have said steel will follow oil and usually it is 6 weeks behind moves in oil prices.
https://preview.redd.it/szjhhl88ngg61.png?width=1592&format=png&auto=webp&s=e79b4671a1d719202d6d98a0fdd1e192f93c24e0
After a rocky 12 months, oil prices — which got crushed when Covid-19 slashed demand for energy around the world — are roaring back.
What's happening: Brent crude futures, the global benchmark, have breached $60 per barrel, their highest level since January 2020.The immediate catalyst appeared to be weekend remarks from President Joe Biden that the United States will not lift sanctions on Iran to get the country back to the negotiating table. But oil prices have been on the upswing for months thanks to optimism that coronavirus vaccines will unleash demand while producers avoid flooding the market with supply.
The bonus with $BHP is you get oil and steel in one play.
Again, I am a value investor and I like to find value where others shy away from and commodities are the red-headed step child that I believe will shine in 2021 for all the reasons I have laid out here and in previous DD's.
I am not your personal financial advisor and do your own research.
Good luck!
-Vito

How I went from $35K to $1.75M (50X) in less than a year

Introduction

Gather 'round retards and autists. Grab a mug of eggnog, find a cozy corner in your mom's basement, and enjoy the tale of SIR JACK A LOT.
In this post: I'll go over my trading history, my strategy, my philosophy, and also systematically destroy every accusation and idiotic question made against me in the last week WITH RECEIPTS. No one doubts motherfuckin SIR JACK A LOT.
Disclaimers
Privacy is important to me. I wish to stay anonymous. This is not financial advice, just my story.

Ghosts of Christmas Past

Chapter 1: Crypto (2017-18)
How it all started... I threw every last dollar I had in ETH at $12 and swing traded a ton of shit coins and ICOs until it all came crashing down.
In short: turned $8K into $300K and back to $30k but owed the IRS ~$120K since all the gains were calculated at 2017-year-end. I royally fucked myself because I didn't set any money aside for taxes. Ended up in debt to some very bad people and things were very dark, I don't like to talk about this time in my life that much.
Chapter 2: WSB Tuition (2018)
First learned about WSB in 2018 from the infamous FB ER put play by YungBillionaire turning ~$28K into $451K overnight. That sounded fun.
Quickly learned about options but most importantly about FDs, tendies, and the power of memes.
Back then it was all about trade wars and hanging at the whim of commander cheeto's supple tweets.
I have fond memories of:

• Apparently the first stock I ever bought on Robinhood was HMNY... thanks Robinhood Recap for the reminder of my retarded-ness
• Grew my first set of winkles on my smooth brain with AMC calls. The thesis was that their Stubs A-List subscription was doing pretty well according to /AMCsAList back then
• Went all-in MTCH weekly puts with $12K clenching my stomach in the fetal position when all of a sudden there was a lawsuit and I tripled my account in minutes, pure luck

Still ended up losing $30K and swore off options forever... until 2020 where I lost another $10k in options. Fucking weeklies man, they're like if cocaine and blackjack made a dopamine-infused baby
WTF is up with the snowflakes Robinhood? So gay, instant short when it IPOs

Ghosts of Christmas Present

Chapter 3: Road to $1M+ (2020)
Let's start with the receipts since that's what everyone's interested in:
Proof that I started Feb 2020 with only $35K
Vanguard is my 401k provider and their self-directed brokerage is provided by TD Ameritrade which is why you see screenshots from two different apps. Started the year with $11K in 401k, deposited $26K more in Jan and then started trading in Feb with $35K. The $49K withdrawal in June was for a 401k loan to buy a Tesla.
Looking at this all-time graph gets me so hard
In my first run up to June, turned $35k into $850K (APT, CODX, NCLH, CHWY) and decided my luck was too good and needed to "cool down". Decided to withdraw $50k for a Tesla and stayed away from the markets for a good 3 months thinking the market was going to go back down again...
But it didn't, the market kept rallying and I got the tendie tingles. My first move in Sept was to go all-in on WORK and bought at the high of $35 and was immediately down -30% thanks to their shit ER. They recovered a bit in the weeks afterwards and then jumped into CRSR which made me a millionaire and then GME. GME also shit the bed with a -20% ER but recovered swiftly thanks to Lord Cohen and recently jumped into STIC for that final spike up.
Chapter 4: Explaining every trade
Proof of every gain/loss I've ever traded (except APT history which was in Vanguard)
My strategy is going all-in on a single stock all-shares. The idea is to have a thesis and conviction with that trade. I stay in the trade until the thesis is invalidated or another opportunity arises, it's a simple strategy and it's worked for me so far. My account does not allow options or margin trading.
Here's a few theses and history I remember in hopes folks can learn something:

• APT/CODX - It was obvious to me in Jan/Feb that this coronavirus was the real deal. The trick was to look at the facts and not the noise. There was a fake viral video of blood-curdling screams from Wuhan apartments that was so obviously fake but western media loved it. On the other hand, Wuhan built a makeshift hospital in just 10 days, that's real action the government took and showed me how seriously dangerous this new virus was going to be. So I loaded up on APT, a mask stock, and rode it up and then switched to CODX, a testing stock, and rode that up from $11 to $24 selling right before their botched ER (conf call with no queue and everyone talking over each other lol)
• NCLH - Saw a curious spike in volume on May 14 with a move upward, piqued my tendie tingles again. Decided it was worth an all-in at $10.57 as the support of $10 was pretty strong. The mood at the time was that coronavirus was waning (I knew it was wrong but the market was emotionally optimistic) and fortunately it caused NCLH to moon and I sold at $19.75 on June 4 even though it kept mooning to $26 over the next 2 days
• CHWY - Got a dog, it's cute. Pets + E-Commerce during a pandemic, easy money. Bought at $41 and sold at $46 only because I thought it was moving kind of slowly. Well I was pretty wrong, now it's at $104
• SQQQ/TVIX - I tried being a gay bear for an hour and lost money. Don't ever be a gay bear
• CRSR - Been watching a ton of tech review and PC building YouTube channels and subreddits and the "enthusiast" crowd is definitely larger and has bigger wallets than people think. There is fucking keyboard typing ASMR now and ebay reviewers THANKING scalpers for charging them 2-3x MRSP. Biggest generational jump in GPU and CPU in a while and recently IPO-ed Corsair was definitely gonna benefit from this new generation of gamers was my thesis. Went all-in at $24 and sold at $36 after a non-stop run even though it kept running all the way to $51. No regrets, profit is profit.
• WORK - It was the only "WFH" stock that didn't moon yet, thought it deserved a chance was my thesis. Went all-in at the tippy top of $35 on Sept 2 and it immediately kept crashing all the way to $24 in 5 days. Fortunately it recovered a bit and sold at $32 for a loss since I gave up hope and it seemed to be running out of steam

Chapter 5: GME Gang Confession
Now: I have a confession to make. My conviction for the Gamestop MOASS is insane. Had 88,233 shares at $13.04 buy-in with a $120 stop limit. Listening to this 90-min podcast of Uberkikz11 going on about how he knows more about this company than any mortal human should gets me so friken hard every time.
But. That -20% ER drop hurt me on a spiritual level. Watching my account go from $1.5M to $1.1M at one point gave me Taco Bell-levels of stomach cramps.
So when it bounced back to $15-16 on no news on Fri, Dec 18, I felt like I needed to "cool down" again. It was going into the holidays with a British virus mutation on the way and hedge funds manipulating to get their holiday bonuses, it felt kind of dangerous. And no way Ryan Cohen would be working with his lawyers on something that fast over the holidays, right?
So I sold all my GME at $15.50.
Then on Mon, Dec 21 morning, Lord Cohen drops his new 13D/A... but the stock price stayed flat all day. The Lord gave me a chance. A whole day to get back in. Unfortunately I didn't take it.
And then Tue, Dec 22 all tendies broke loose, the squeezening. +25% gain. deepfuckingvalue dropping his massive dong in another update. I waddled back and forth in my fetal position. Missed out on ~$300K gain while watching everyone freak out. Felt exactly like this:
Can't feel my dick at all...
Chapter 6: Barking on a STIC
While waddling and scrolling on my phone, I happened to stumble across this post about STIC and BarkBox. Not sure why pound_salt_ deleted the original post but at the time, it was the only post about it on WSB
I was pretty familiar with BarkBox and started researching, it seemed super un-discovered. I liked what I saw: Pets. E-commerce. Subscription. SPAC. Basic white bitches spoiling dogs. This might be worth an all-in.
So on Wed, Dec 23 morning I decided to make a move. All-in at $14.42.
Then I started writing everything I had learned and posted it all in my DD post at 1:46PM ET because I thought it was worth sharing what I found https://www.reddit.com/wallstreetbets/comments/kiypqq/sir_jack_a_lots_next_move_all_in_stic_bark_merge
The price was $14.25 at the time of posting and frankly, price was oddly flat at $14.25 pretty much all day. Lots of people got to buy in at this price. Why did it take me so long to write it? I had actual work meetings all morning and wrote it during my lunch break
Then by the luck of the gods, apparently the CEO of BarkBox, Matt Meeker, went onto CNBC at 3:20PM ET and it started mooning. On Thurs, Dec 24 I awoke to a 20% pop and shared my gains for ya'll to salivate over. Complete. Luck.

Ghost of Christmas Future

Chapter 7: What's next?
Let me be clear. I stand by every word of conviction I mentioned in all my GME and STIC posts, those are still my favorite H1 2021 plays. Holding STIC until merger would most definitely get you some massive gains.
But I'm a swing momentum trader. If I feel like something is running out of steam, has a risk of a rug pull, or another stock has potential to pick up steam with lesser downside, that's when I usually jump around.
I'm not happy with just a +25% in 3 months. I want a +25% compounded on +25% compounded on another +25% in the same 3 month time period.
On Monday, Dec 28 I will probably sell STIC and move all into CRSR again. From technical charting perspective, I'm loving the setup and the magical crayons are telling me we're at the support again and this should bounce in anticipation of strong Q4 earnings.
Now: this is not a ding on STIC or GME, I stand by my 2x-10x claims at some point in H1 2021. It will eventually get there but it might also dip and rise again and I want to swing that dip and rise.
Let me spell it out for some retards: because STIC moon-ed so fast, I want to sell to capture profits and hopefully buy back in on a dip. If STIC had not mooned yet, I would still be holding STIC for a more gradual moon-ing to let my thesis play out. If STIC does not dip but keeps mooning, then I will not chase and happily watch other diamond hands enjoy their tendies.

Q&A / AMAA

I'm fucking tired of answering the same repeated idiotic questions. Let this Q&A serve as an artifact and please link it to new retards. I will also proceed to debunk every single fucking false claim I've read in my last few posts. Also feel free to AMAA in the comments, I'll be replying all day.

1. How often do you jack off? At least 2 times a day and always before I make a trade for that post-nut clarity
2. Haha you're going to owe so much in taxes - Nope, this is all in my 401k which in the US means I don't owe taxes until I withdraw. Fucking compounding gains for years bitch
3. Why are you making such risky trades? My goal is 8 digits or bust, that's my /fatfire number so I can finally quit this wageslave game. It's so obviously stacked against us and requires a lottery moment to reach escape velocity to play on New Game+ where I can live on $400k 4% SWR on $10M. This is my lottery moment and I'm leaning all the fucking way in. That's why I'm chad-ing it up and trying to TIME the market, meaning riding shit up and then jumping back into shit for another ride up. Fuck you Warren Buffet and your 90 y/o "time in the market" boomer bullshit. The next pandemic in 2025 might wipe us all out anyways, I ain't got time to wait for retirement. Gotta will it into existence. YOLO
4. How are you so good at this? I study everything. Technicals. Charts. Support levels. Volume spikes. Short interest. Executive teams. Rumors. Customer sentiment. Employee morale. Insider trading. MSM manipulation. Comparable market caps. ER reports. Upgrade reports. SEC filings. Meme potential. I literally watch and study every facet I can about a company, and do so quickly.
5. What's your trading strategy? All-in on a single stock all-shares. The idea is to have a thesis and conviction with that trade. I stay in the trade until the thesis is invalidated or another opportunity arises, it's a simple strategy and it's worked for me so far.
6. Why do you post on WSB? Internet points is fucking fun. I was banned for like 30 minutes yesterday (on "accident" apparently) and having $200k+ gains without the ability to share was just not the same
7. How do I follow your next move? Oh just follow my discord/newslett -- no fuck that shit. I don't do discord or newsletters or twitter or anything else. I'll keep posting on WSB until 8 digits or bust (or ban), you can guarantee that.
8. Why do you remove the time on your screenshots? I'm cropping shit on my iPhone and my username is between the portfolio number and the top bar. Otherwise I'd love to friken show off my perpetual 69% battery level
9. 15% isn't a real YOLO - I am literally shoving my entire net worth into a single stock every single time. Correct it's not the same as blackjack or FDs where if I got it wrong, I could lose everything but it's still fucking riskier than any ETF or financial advisor with their cuckold MBA would ever advise. One 15% play may not be impressive but compounded together is how you get this 50X in less than a year
10. Where's PLTR or TSLA? Notice I never once touched PLTR, TSLA, NIO, XBEV, MVIS, etc or any of the other meme stocks WSB loves. That's because I hate being a sheep and following after the curve. I try to find shit right before the curve starts (usually indicated by a volume spike) and most WSB meme stocks are up way too high for my risk tolerance. Too much at stake to lose to a random rug pull moment.
11. Hey I think I'm your cousin, can I get some money? No you fuck, stop being poor.
12. Hey do you wanna fuck my ex-wife? Already did, next
13. You're just using WSB to pump and dump on us - No you fucking idiot.

• First: look at my post history, I NEVER make a hard recommendation for people to buy a stock. I only share my gains, losses, or DD because it's fucking funny to see how ya'll react. Whether people want to follow my move or not is 100% up to people. Do your own fucking DD and figure out when you want to sell according to your own thesis/risk tolerance.
• Second: You folks keep asking me for my next move. Well how and when the fuck should I share it? If I post something in the morning, it's stuck in /new for a while until it gets enough upvotes to hit the front page and by then it's already afternoon or market close and the stock might have already done who knows what. That's not pump and dumping, that's just a delayed effect of how Reddit's algorithm works. Anything on the front page is essentially 5-15 hours old news and you need to determine if the state of the world is still the same or be a sheep and chase. It's the same thing once you hear Aunt Cathie or Boomer Cramer mention a stock and it trickles down to you, you're chasing after others have already gotten in
• Third: My $1.5M is not enough to move any real-volume stock. I don't touch OTC or low-volume shit. For STIC: I have 97K shares and on average 2-4M shares are traded every day for STIC so my account is a like a drop of whale cum in the ocean
• Fourth: Real pump and dumpers are the shitty scum on the earth. Spend any time in /pennystocks or some Discord or Stocktwits and holy shit, these scum run fucking operations. I've even seen paid newsletters where the highest tier gets the tip "early" to buy in and then the lowefree tiers get the tip which causes the pump for the early buyers to literally dump on and create bag holders on non-existant volume too
• Fifth: Listen to what DoubleKillGG and his big brain figured out the rest of you retards could not:

The fact is that SIR_JACK_A_LOT is a swing trader. Yes he pumps his stocks and closes relatively quickly but he doesn't pump shit stocks. If you bought any of his positions when he posted you'd be up on everything. A pump and dump requires the dump part where investors are left holding a stock that is worth less than when they bought it. He did, however, break wsb's rule #4; STIC's market cap is below $1B.
His positions closed and what they're worth currently
NCLH: Exit at 17.95. Current share price is 24.51
CHWY: Exit at 44.35. Current share price is 104.10
NCLH (again): Exit at 19.16. Current share price is 24.51
CRSR: Exit at 35.57. Current share price is 36.70
PTON: Exit at 109.46. Current share price is 163.60
GME: Exit at 15.96. Current share price is 20.26
*\*Exits are estimations from his posts*
STIC: Posted DD when share price was around 14.25. Current share price is 17.85

Shout-outs
Some of ya'll are real gems. Major props to:

• My GME gang Uberkikz11, Ackilles, and of course the king deepfuckingvalue along with a few others like CPTHubbard, OutrageousDesk, Tomatotowers, Stonksflyingup, sneakersourcerer, Midaswhale30, Jeffamazon, DrZaius0 for the amazing DD, memes, and brotherhood
• alifeofataraxia for his YouTube videos chronicling the tale of SIR JACK A LOT - Part 1, Part 2, Part 3
• GrowerNotAShower11 for his erotic fan-fiction. I need one written about Cramer succumbing ahegao-style to the awe of my portfolio gains and massive dong STAT
• Many other loyal fans who helped me get unbanned yesterday, thank you

Fuck You Haters
Last week we got durado so cucked he deleted his account and now kingobama123 is all up on my ass. First, read this magnum dong opus and if you have more questions, ask it in the comments, I'll cum all over you.
POLL
To really drive home the value I bring to WSB, let's see how many peoples' lives I've changed and for the better or worse. Take this poll regarding whether I helped make you gain or lose money if you've been following.
https://www.strawpoll.me/42341589
🚀🎄🚀🎄🚀🎄🚀🎄🚀🎄🚀🎄🚀🎄🚀🎄
🎄🚀🎄🚀Merry Fucking Christmas 🚀🎄🚀
🚀🎄Jerome Powell bless us, every one!🚀🎄
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My usual order is the 13-piece tenders - whopping 1780 calories in a single sitting